Question
The accompanying dataset provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days. Complete parts a through c. Closing prices Date
The accompanying dataset provides the closing prices for four stocks and the stock exchange over 12 days. Complete parts a through c.
Closing prices
Date A B C D Stock Exchange 09/03/2010 126.69 18.33 20.87 15.46 10,441.25 09/07/2010 126.39 18.19 20.63 15.29 10,329.98 09/08/2010 125.65 17.81 20.73 15.73 10,426.91 09/09/2010 125.24 18.05 20.52 15.97 10,373.98 09/10/2010 127.21 18.08 20.64 15.95 10,477.25 09/13/2010 128.41 18.68 21.23 16.33 10,511.38 09/14/2010 128.76 18.89 21.32 16.25 10,610.03 09/15/2010 128.51 18.89 21.39 16.39 10,569.69 09/16/2010 128.46 18.84 21.75 16.24 10,510.82 09/17/2010 129.11 18.67 21.88 16.45 10,508.43 09/20/2010 132.39 18.91 21.59 16.57 10,827.93 09/21/2010 132.76 18.96 21.65 16.68 10,806.47
a. Use Excel's Data Analysis Exponential Smoothing tool to forecast each of the stock prices using simple exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of
0.3.
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock A.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date | Forecast A |
---|---|
09/03/2010 | |
09/07/2010 | enter your response here |
09/08/2010 | enter your response here |
09/09/2010 | enter your response here |
09/10/2010 | enter your response here |
09/13/2010 | enter your response here |
09/14/2010 | enter your response here |
09/15/2010 | enter your response here |
09/16/2010 | enter your response here |
09/17/2010 | enter your response here |
09/20/2010 | enter your response here |
09/21/2010 | enter your response here |
Part 2
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock B.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date | Forecast B |
---|---|
09/03/2010 | |
09/07/2010 | enter your response here |
09/08/2010 | enter your response here |
09/09/2010 | enter your response here |
09/10/2010 | enter your response here |
09/13/2010 | enter your response here |
09/14/2010 | enter your response here |
09/15/2010 | enter your response here |
09/16/2010 | enter your response here |
09/17/2010 | enter your response here |
09/20/2010 | enter your response here |
09/21/2010 | enter your response here |
Part 3
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock C.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date | Forecast C |
---|---|
09/03/2010 | |
09/07/2010 | enter your response here |
09/08/2010 | enter your response here |
09/09/2010 | enter your response here |
09/10/2010 | enter your response here |
09/13/2010 | enter your response here |
09/14/2010 | enter your response here |
09/15/2010 | enter your response here |
09/16/2010 | enter your response here |
09/17/2010 | enter your response here |
09/20/2010 | enter your response here |
09/21/2010 | enter your response here |
Part 4
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for stock D.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date | Forecast D |
---|---|
09/03/2010 | |
09/07/2010 | enter your response here |
09/08/2010 | enter your response here |
09/09/2010 | enter your response here |
09/10/2010 | enter your response here |
09/13/2010 | enter your response here |
09/14/2010 | enter your response here |
09/15/2010 | enter your response here |
09/16/2010 | enter your response here |
09/17/2010 | enter your response here |
09/20/2010 | enter your response here |
09/21/2010 | enter your response here |
Part 5
Complete the exponential smoothing forecast model for the stock exchange.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Date | Forecast Stock Exchange |
---|---|
09/03/2010 | |
09/07/2010 | enter your response here |
09/08/2010 | enter your response here |
09/09/2010 | enter your response here |
09/10/2010 | enter your response here |
09/13/2010 | enter your response here |
09/14/2010 | enter your response here |
09/15/2010 | enter your response here |
09/16/2010 | enter your response here |
09/17/2010 | enter your response here |
09/20/2010 | enter your response here |
09/21/2010 | enter your response here |
Part 6
b. Compute the MAD, MSE, and MAPE for each of the models.
Compute the MAD (mean absolute deviation) for each of the models.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Stock A | enter your response here | |
Stock B | enter your response here | |
Stock C | enter your response here | |
Stock D | enter your response here | |
Stock Exchange | enter your response here |
Part 7
Compute the MSE (mean square error) for each of the models.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Stock A | enter your response here | |
Stock B | enter your response here | |
Stock C | enter your response here | |
Stock D | enter your response here | |
Stock Exchange | enter your response here |
Part 8
Compute the MAPE (mean square error) for each of the models.
(Type integers or decimals rounded to two decimal places as needed.)
Stock A | enter your response here% | |
Stock B | enter your response here% | |
Stock C | enter your response here% | |
Stock D | enter your response here% | |
Stock Exchange | enter your response here% |
Part 9
c. Does a smoothing constant of 0.1 or 0.5 yield better results?
Select the correct answer below and, if necessary, fill in the answer box to complete the choice.
A. Neither 0.1 nor 0.5 yield better results because the values of MAD, MSE and MAPE for =0.3 are all lower.
B. Neither 0.1 nor 0.5 yield better results because the values of MAD, MSE and MAPE for =0.3 are all higher.
C.A smoothing constant of enter your response here yields better results because the values of MAD, MSE and MAPE are all lower.
(Type an integer or a decimal.)
D.A smoothing constant of enter your response here yields better results because the values of MAD, MSE and MAPE are all higher.
(Type an integer or a decimal.)
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