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The actual returns of the S&P since 1928 are in the attached file. The Assignment Your team works at a financial advisory firm and is

The actual returns of the S&P since 1928 are in the attached file.

The Assignment

Your team works at a financial advisory firm and is asked to work with a client, Ms Christie, who has retired and has 400K in liquid assets.

To maintain a semblance of her prior lifestyle she needs to draw down 50K per year to complement social security and other pension payments.

a) Based on actual data (use the random function to select different starting years), determine the average number of years she can continue to draw down 50K before she runs out of money.

b) Second, since your client understands distribution (she took this course) and comes from a family of septagenarians, she wants to know how much she can draw down if she expects to live to 78. She is 65 now.

c) finally, any other advice you would like to offer

Year S&P 500 (includes dividends) 3-month T.Bill Return on 10-year T. Bond
1928 43.81% 3.08% 0.84%
1929 -8.30% 3.16% 4.20%
1930 -25.12% 4.55% 4.54%
1931 -43.84% 2.31% -2.56%
1932 -8.64% 1.07% 8.79%
1933 49.98% 0.96% 1.86%
1934 -1.19% 0.32% 7.96%
1935 46.74% 0.18% 4.47%
1936 31.94% 0.17% 5.02%
1937 -35.34% 0.30% 1.38%
1938 29.28% 0.08% 4.21%
1939 -1.10% 0.04% 4.41%
1940 -10.67% 0.03% 5.40%
1941 -12.77% 0.08% -2.02%
1942 19.17% 0.34% 2.29%
1943 25.06% 0.38% 2.49%
1944 19.03% 0.38% 2.58%
1945 35.82% 0.38% 3.80%
1946 -8.43% 0.38% 3.13%
1947 5.20% 0.57% 0.92%
1948 5.70% 1.02% 1.95%
1949 18.30% 1.10% 4.66%
1950 30.81% 1.17% 0.43%
1951 23.68% 1.48% -0.30%
1952 18.15% 1.67% 2.27%
1953 -1.21% 1.89% 4.14%
1954 52.56% 0.96% 3.29%
1955 32.60% 1.66% -1.34%
1956 7.44% 2.56% -2.26%
1957 -10.46% 3.23% 6.80%
1958 43.72% 1.78% -2.10%
1959 12.06% 3.26% -2.65%
1960 0.34% 3.05% 11.64%

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