Question
The actual returns of the S&P since 1928 are in the attached file. The Assignment Your team works at a financial advisory firm and is
The actual returns of the S&P since 1928 are in the attached file.
The Assignment
Your team works at a financial advisory firm and is asked to work with a client, Ms Christie, who has retired and has 400K in liquid assets.
To maintain a semblance of her prior lifestyle she needs to draw down 50K per year to complement social security and other pension payments.
a) Based on actual data (use the random function to select different starting years), determine the average number of years she can continue to draw down 50K before she runs out of money.
b) Second, since your client understands distribution (she took this course) and comes from a family of septagenarians, she wants to know how much she can draw down if she expects to live to 78. She is 65 now.
c) finally, any other advice you would like to offer
Year | S&P 500 (includes dividends) | 3-month T.Bill | Return on 10-year T. Bond |
1928 | 43.81% | 3.08% | 0.84% |
1929 | -8.30% | 3.16% | 4.20% |
1930 | -25.12% | 4.55% | 4.54% |
1931 | -43.84% | 2.31% | -2.56% |
1932 | -8.64% | 1.07% | 8.79% |
1933 | 49.98% | 0.96% | 1.86% |
1934 | -1.19% | 0.32% | 7.96% |
1935 | 46.74% | 0.18% | 4.47% |
1936 | 31.94% | 0.17% | 5.02% |
1937 | -35.34% | 0.30% | 1.38% |
1938 | 29.28% | 0.08% | 4.21% |
1939 | -1.10% | 0.04% | 4.41% |
1940 | -10.67% | 0.03% | 5.40% |
1941 | -12.77% | 0.08% | -2.02% |
1942 | 19.17% | 0.34% | 2.29% |
1943 | 25.06% | 0.38% | 2.49% |
1944 | 19.03% | 0.38% | 2.58% |
1945 | 35.82% | 0.38% | 3.80% |
1946 | -8.43% | 0.38% | 3.13% |
1947 | 5.20% | 0.57% | 0.92% |
1948 | 5.70% | 1.02% | 1.95% |
1949 | 18.30% | 1.10% | 4.66% |
1950 | 30.81% | 1.17% | 0.43% |
1951 | 23.68% | 1.48% | -0.30% |
1952 | 18.15% | 1.67% | 2.27% |
1953 | -1.21% | 1.89% | 4.14% |
1954 | 52.56% | 0.96% | 3.29% |
1955 | 32.60% | 1.66% | -1.34% |
1956 | 7.44% | 2.56% | -2.26% |
1957 | -10.46% | 3.23% | 6.80% |
1958 | 43.72% | 1.78% | -2.10% |
1959 | 12.06% | 3.26% | -2.65% |
1960 | 0.34% | 3.05% | 11.64% |
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