Question
The Atlas Corp. of the United States exports computer software to the euro zone. Sales are currently 5,000,000 units per year at the euro equivalent
The Atlas Corp. of the United States exports computer software to the euro zone. Sales are currently 5,000,000 units per year at the euro equivalent of $126 each. The current exchange rate is $1.1280/ but the dollar is expected to appreciate next week by 8.64% after which it will remain unchanged for at least ten years. Accepting this forecast, Atlas Corp. faces a pricing decision in anticipation of the appreciation. It may either 1) maintain the same euro price and in effect sell for fewer dollars, in which case its export volume will increase by 8% per year for the first five years and then by 5% per year for the following five years, or 2) maintain the same dollar price, raise the euro price in Europe to compensate for the depreciation, and experience a 20% drop in volume during the current year, followed by an increase of 3% per year for the following nine years. Dollar costs will not change. At the end of ten years, the software will be obsolete and will no longer be exported. After the dollar appreciates by 8.64% no further appreciation is expected. Direct costs are currently 70% of the U.S. sales price and that cost will not change over the ten year horizon. Atlas weighted average cost of capital is 15%. Given these considerations, which pricing policy should Atlas follow? Explain your decision and comment on the implications of the result from the point of view of competitive exposure.
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