The central bank has a real neutral interest rate of 1.5% and the market expect inflation to be around 4% next year, which is 2% above the target set by the central bank. GDP is expected to be 0.5% greater than the historical trend. The current nominal policy interest rate is 4.5%. According to the Taylor rule, what is the most likely action of the central bank regarding interest rate setting in the near future? What is risked if the central bank does nothing different