Question
The CEO of St. Sebastian Health System, a moderate-sized hospital system in a mid-sized, Midwest city has hired you to help turn things around. The
The CEO of St. Sebastian Health System, a moderate-sized
hospital system in a mid-sized, Midwest city has hired you to help turn things
around. The CFO is projecting an $8.9 million operating loss this year, which
will be more than offset by non-operating income. However, the board has made
it clear that the situation must improve. If the system cannot produce a
positive operating margin in 2022, someone else is going to be the CEO. The CEO
and CFO have asked you to recommend strategic approaches to selling their
services in the community that will help turn the financial ship around.Your
Health SystemSt. Sebastian is a community-based health system. The senior
management team has an average tenure of 17 years. The exception is the Chief
Medical Officer (CMO). She has been in her position for two years and is the
fourth CMO in that role in the past ten years. The CEO and COO have each been
in their current roles for ten years. The system is comprised of the
following:1. Two large, acute care hospitals2. Two long term care facilities3.
Two skilled nursing facilities4. One long-term acute-care hospital (LTAC)5.
Four geographically distributed outpatient centers6. Four Urgent Care Centers7.
Two free-standing ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs)8. A 400 member employed
physician group that includes 180 Primary Care Providers (PCPs). All 28 PCP
practices are certified Level III Patient Centered Medical Homes by NCQA.The
remainder of the 1,000 member medical staff is generally comprised of large,
independent groups who have varying degrees of 'loyalty' to the system. The
Radiology and Emergency groups, for example do 100% of their work at St.
Sebastian and have no ownership of any outside facilities. The Gastroenterology
group, on the other hand, does work at the hospital, but also owns their own,
freestanding endoscopy center. The orthopedic group does 75% of their work at
St. Sebastian, but maintains privileges at other facilities. They do not own
their own ASC.In the current year, St. Sebastian is projecting 221,700 patient
visits (combined IP and OP) with an average cost per visit of $1,775. They have
an average charge per visit of $4,600. Over the past ten years, St. Sebastian
has been active in pursuing a number of different strategic projects
including:1. They have established 'clinical institutes' in cardiovascular,
orthopedic, oncology, maternity and neurologic care. Each of these has been
built through a co-management agreement between the system and the internal or
external physician group who would be most logical. Each institute is led by a
dyad of an administrator and medical director. 2. Five years ago, they
consolidated maternity programs to one facility, a move that justified
investing in a Level III Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU)3. They have
established a research division in the hopes of working with national
pharmaceutical companies and/or tertiary care hospitals in the Midwest.4. They
have established a Physician Hospital Organization (PHO) and intend to become
an Accountable Care Organization (ACO) that can participate in the Medicare
Shared Savings
Case Study - Background Reading - Strategic Management - The CEO
of St. Sebastian Health System, a moderate-sized hospital system in a
mid-sized, Midwest city has hired you to help turn things around. The CFO is
projecting an $8.9 million operating loss this year, which will be more than
offset by non-operating income. However, the board has made it clear that the
situation must improve. If the system cannot produce a positive operating
margin in 2022, someone else is going to be the CEO. The CEO and CFO have asked
you to recommend strategic approaches to selling their services in the
community that will help turn the financial ship around.Your Health SystemSt.
Sebastian is a community-based health system. The senior management team has an
average tenure of 17 years. The exception is the Chief Medical Officer (CMO).
She has been in her position for two years and is the fourth CMO in that role
in the past ten years. The CEO and COO have each been in their current roles
for ten years. The system is comprised of the following:1. Two large, acute
care hospitals2. Two long term care facilities3. Two skilled nursing
facilities4. One long-term acute-care hospital (LTAC)5. Four geographically
distributed outpatient centers6. Four Urgent Care Centers7. Two free-standing
ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs)8. A 400 member employed physician group that
includes 180 Primary Care Providers (PCPs). All 28 PCP practices are certified
Level III Patient Centered Medical Homes by NCQA.The remainder of the 1,000
member medical staff is generally comprised of large, independent groups who
have varying degrees of 'loyalty' to the system. The Radiology and Emergency
groups, for example do 100% of their work at St. Sebastian and have no
ownership of any outside facilities. The Gastroenterology group, on the other
hand, does work at the hospital, but also owns their own, freestanding
endoscopy center. The orthopedic group does 75% of their work at St. Sebastian,
but maintains privileges at other facilities. They do not own their own ASC.In
the current year, St. Sebastian is projecting 221,700 patient visits (combined
IP and OP) with an average cost per visit of $1,775. They have an average
charge per visit of $4,600. Over the past ten years, St. Sebastian has been
active in pursuing a number of different strategic projects including:1. They
have established 'clinical institutes' in cardiovascular, orthopedic, oncology,
maternity and neurologic care. Each of these has been built through a co-management
agreement between the system and the internal or external physician group who
would be most logical. Each institute is led by a dyad of an administrator and
medical director. 2. Five years ago, they consolidated maternity programs to
one facility, a move that justified investing in a Level III Neonatal Intensive
Care Unit (NICU)3. They have established a research division in the hopes of
working with national pharmaceutical companies and/or tertiary care hospitals
in the Midwest.4. They have established a Physician Hospital Organization (PHO)
and intend to become an Accountable Care Organization (ACO) that can
participate in the Medicare Shared Savings
Program (MSSP) and/or enter into global risk contracts with
third party payers. The PHO is currently evaluating whether or not they should
purchase an insurance license so that they could offer commercial, Medicare
Advantage and Managed Medicaid insurance products.5. They have established a
Business Health division to service the corporate health needs of the employers
in the region. This would include things like EAP programs, on-site wellness,
drug screening, on-site clinics, etc. This division also recently built two
large, full-service fitness centers.The competition - The community is currently
served by three other major health providers:1. Mercy is the competitor acute
care system in town and has two hospitals and various outpatient centers. They
have not been active in physician employment - they employ a group of 60 PCPs,
but no specialists. Similarly, they have not been engaged in 'branching out'
with different strategic initiatives, preferring instead to focus on cost
efficient care. They do not have clinical institutes, research divisions, a PHO
or a Business Health division. They have 228,500 visits per year, with an
average cost of $1,450 per visit and an average charge of $4,450.2. General
Pediatric is a pediatric teaching hospital. Five years ago, they signed an
affiliation agreement with Johns Hopkins to gain access to clinical and
research capabilities that would have been beyond their reach, given their
size. They employee essentially all of the pediatric subspecialists and have a
PHO, which includes 75% of the region's primary care pediatricians. They will
have 202,000 visits this year, with an average cost of $2,050 per visit and an
average charge of $4,950 per visit.3. General University is an adult teaching
hospital affiliated with the local university's medical school. They staff the
region's free-care clinics and historically, have been the region's hospital
for indigent/uninsured patients. They are the region's Level I trauma center
and are well regarded for intensive services like trauma, stroke and cancer
care. However, their location and reputation for taking indigent patients means
that they are not preferred for 'normal' medical care by commercially insured
or Medicare patients. Besides the community health centers, they own an
inpatient rehab hospital, but not other facilities. They have explored
affiliations with national leaders in academic medicine, but so far have not
signed any such agreements. They see 185,000 visits per year with an average
cost of $1,825 and an average charge of $5,600 per visit.There are no other
hospitals currently operating, though there are 23 skilled nursing facilities
(SNFs) and 3 inpatient rehab facilities throughout the region. They are
independent actors and for the most part are struggling to stay profitable.
There are several single-specialty physician groups who operate ambulatory surgery
centers and one chain of independent diagnostic treatment facilities (IDTFs).
Three years ago, there was a significant change in the state government, and
that resulted in the long-time Certificate of Need (CON) program being all but
scrapped (Skilled Nursing Facilities are still heavily regulated). Several
for-profit hospital companies have recently done some analysis around entering
your market, but have not done so yet.The Community - The community is a
Midwest city and surrounding suburbs in the midst of a transition from a
manufacturing employment base, which unfortunately accelerated with the 2008
economic downturn. The hospitals have seen this over the past several years in
a tightening of benefits offered by local employers. Benefits continue to be
offered, but increasingly are likely to have a significant deductible
associated with them. Unemployment has been above the national average and is
projected
to remain that way. This means that the average wage in the
region is actually below where it was in 2008, when the last recession hit. The
number of Medicare-age residents are projected to rise over the next 10-20
years, while working age patients are projected to stay flat or fall slightly.
Similarly, birth rates are expected to fall slightly over the coming decade.
The community is 60 miles south, 45 miles east and 50 miles north of other,
similarly sized cities. Until 20 years ago, that made this city effectively an
island unto itself. Increasingly, however, the suburbs of each of these
communities have become very close to each other. As that has happened,
providers in each community have followed and established practice sites and
free-standing outpatient centers.The payers - The community has a normal
looking mix of Commercial, Medicare and Medicaid patients. Because the state's
governor was fiercely against the Affordable Care Act, the Medicaid expansion
that happened in other states hasn't happened here. Thus, the community also
has a sizable population without insurance today. As you'd expect, different
hospitals see a different mix of these patients. The local health council was
able to provide you with the most recent year's payer mix by hospital -
below:Patient visitsCommercialMedicareMedicaidUninsured/
Self-payMercy82,000104,00022,00020,500St.
Sebastian100,500100,20012,5008,500Gen. Pediatric71,0003,500112,50015,000Gen.
University65,00046,00047,50026,500Community
Total318,500253,700194,50070,500Reimbursement - the CFO was able to supply you
with their best estimate for what various payers are reimbursing for services.
In general, the commercial plans are paying 50% of charges, regardless of
location, except at General Pediatric. There, the monopoly on pediatric
services has allowed them to negotiate rates of 80% of charge, but only for the
commercial plans. Medicare currently pays 30% of charges at all hospitals, and
Medicaid pays 25% of charges everywhere. Uninsured patients are generally
paying 2% of charges.
Case #1 - A Market on the MoveYou've read everything you can
about the legislative environment (both regionally and nationally) and spoken
to several brokers who together advise most of the local employers in the
region. You believe the most important changes that are about to hit this
region are the following:1. As Medicare reduces DSH and other payments,
reimbursement from Medicare will drop from 30% of charges to 28% next year2.
The health exchanges established in the ACA have not been much of a factor in
the region so far, but that's about to change. The two largest payers in your
state both plan to really step up in the exchanges and market these plans
aggressively both to currently un-insured and those with current, but
unattractive employer-based coverage. They believe that by 2022, they'll have
25% of all commercially insured patients in exchange-based products.3. There
has been a change in both governor and the makeup of the state legislature,
which means your state will engage in Medicaid expansion next year. Thus, more
people will have coverage, and the uninsured population will diminish, but not
go away entirely. Your best estimate is that uninsured visits community-wide
will reduce from 70,500 to 6,300. You estimate that, of the patients who have
new coverage, half will be Medicaid recipients and half will enter the
commercial plans.The assignment - as you consider how to guide the CEO,
answering the following questions should help:Part A1. Using the information
provided, estimate total gross and net patient service revenue per hospital
currently (2021). What is each hospital's operating margin in terms of dollars
and percentage? Based on this, who is doing well, and who is not? Who has the
most to gain and lose as the current environment changes?2. Based on what you
know will happen with the next year, re-calculate the estimates from question
#1 for 2022. In your estimate, assume that commercial, Medicaid and uninsured
patients still pay the same % of charges. As you consider the population that
moves into commercial insurance and Medicaid, you can assume that each hospital
continues to take the same share of each payer category (in other words, if
hospital A had 20% of the commercial visits in 2021, they will have 20% in
2022). You can also assume that total community visits and charge and cost per
visit numbers will remain as they were in 2021.3. Based on everything you've
read, the payers putting products into the health exchanges want to market
these as true, lower cost options. To get there, they will not reimburse as
much as other commercial products. In fact, your best estimate is that they
will pay 120% of the Medicare reimbursement rate. If that is the case, how does
your estimate of 2022 performance change? Is this good or bad? You may want to
answer that question from the perspective of the region as a whole and then for
each hospital. Assuming it was optional, would you recommend that St. Sebastian
participate in the exchange-based products?
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