Question
The Coca-Cola Company is a global soft drink beverage company (ticker symbol = KO) that is a primary and direct competitor with PepsiCo. The data
The Coca-Cola Company is a global soft drink beverage company (ticker symbol = KO) that is a primary and direct competitor with PepsiCo. The data in Exhibits 11.13, 12.14, and 12.15 in Chapter 11 include the actual amounts for Year 4 and projected amounts for Year + 1 to Year + 6 for the income statements, balance sheets, and statements of cash flows for Coca-Cola (in millions).The market equity beta for Coca-Cola at the end of Year 4 is .76. Assume that the risk-free interest rate is 4.0 percent and the market risk premium is 5.0 percent. Coca-Cola has 2,409 million shares outstanding at the end of Year 4. At the end of Year 4, Coca-Cola’s share price was $41.64.Required
Part I-Computing Coca-Cola’s Share Value Using tire Residual Income Valuation Approach
a. Use the CAPM to compute the required rate of return on common equity capital for Coca-Cola.
b. Derive the projected residual income for Coca-Cola for Years + 1 through +6 based on the projected financial statements. The financial statement forecasts for Year +6 assume that Coca-Cola will experience a steady-state long-run growth rate of 3 percent in Year +6 and beyond.
c. Using the required rate of return on common equity from part a as a discount rate, compute the sum of the present value of residual income for Coca-Cola for Years + 1 through +5.
d. Using the required rate of return on common equity from part a as a discount rate, and the long-run growth rate from part b, compute the continuing value of Coca-Cola as of the start of Year +6 based on Coca-Cola’s continuing residual income in Year +6 and beyond. After computing continuing value as of the start of Year +6, discount it to present value at the start of Year + 1.
e. Compute the value of a share of Coca-Cola common stock. (1) Compute the total sum of the present value of all residual income (from parts c and d). (2) Add the book value of equity as of the beginning of the valuation (that is, as of the end of Year 4, or the start of Year + 1). (3) Adjust the total sum of the present value of residual income plus book value of common equity using the midyear discounting adjustment factor. (4) Compute the per-share value estimate.
Part II-Sensitivity Analysis and Recommendation
f. Using the residual income valuation approach, recompute the value of Coca-Cola shares under two alternative scenarios. Scenario I: Assume that Coca-Cola’s long-run growth will be 2 percent, not 3 percent as before; and assume that Coca-Cola’s required rate of return on equity is 9 percent. Scenario 2: Assume that Coca-Cola’s long-run growth will be 4 percent, not 3 percent as before; and assume that Coca-Cola’s required rate of return on equity is 7 percent. To quantify the sensitivity of your share value estimate for Coca-Cola to these variations in growth and discount rates, compare (in percentage terms) your value estimates under these two scenarios with your value estimate from part e.
g. Using these data at the end of Year 4, what reasonable range of share values would you have expected for Coca-Cola common stock? At that time, what was the market price for Coca-Cola shares relative to this range? What would you have recommended?
h. If you completed Problem 12.16 in Chapter 12, compare the value estimate you obtained in part e of that problem (using the free cash flows to common equity shareholders valuation approach) with the value estimate you obtain here using the residual income valuation approach. The value estimates should be the same. If you have not completed Problem 12.16, it would be valuable to do so now.
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