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The construction manager for Acme Construction, Inc. must decide whether to build single family homes, apartments, or condominiums. He assumes that the probability of the
The construction manager for Acme Construction, Inc. must decide whether to build single family homes, apartments, or condominiums. He assumes that the probability of the population growing is 60%. This is not a product-mix problem, but an all-or-nothing decision. He will hire workers and rent equipment appropriate for one action only. He estimates annual profits will vary with population trends as follows:
Dwelling type | Population steady | Population growing |
Single family | 105 | 91 |
Apartments | 166 | 54 |
Condominiums | -30 | 104 |
What is the EMV of the best alternative?
Don't round your probabilities or your intermediate calculations.
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