Question
The Corona Virus, that started to spread in many countries in early 2020, is more contagious than the common flu. Many people are infected, and
The Corona Virus, that started to spread in many countries in early 2020, is more contagious than the common flu. Many people are infected, and many of the infected died. The number of deaths resulting from the coronavirus can be calculated as a result of the infection rate and the mortality rate. The infection rate is the number of persons in a population of 1,000,000 people who are likely to get infected. For this exercise, we assume the infection rate ranges from 10 to 25 people per million (PPM). Likewise, we assume the mortality rate (the death rate) ranges from 1000 to 2500 people per million infected (PPMI). These rates are doubled for a susceptible population (that is people who are above 60 or have other health issues). Given these data, answer the following questions. For each question, always start with the original values given here. (Note: The numbers used in this example are fictional.) QUESTION 1
Consider a population of 10 million. 50% of the population is under 60 years of age. What is the minimum number of people likely to get infected?
A. | 175 | |
B. | 100 | |
C. | 125 | |
D. | 150 |
QUESTION 2
In a country with a population of 18 million, 30% of the population is above 60 years of age and the other 5% of the total population are having some health issues. What is the least number of people infected?
A. | 256 | |
B. | 243 | |
C. | 275 | |
D. | 203 |
QUESTION 3
A city has a population of eight million. 20% of the population is over 60 years of age. Of this population (of eight million), tests so far have shown that 65 people are infected. In addition to this 65, how many more people could still be infected?
A. | 100 | |
B. | 240 | |
C. | 175 | |
D. | 225 |
QUESTION 4
Consider a population of 80 million where 65% is considered not susceptible. What is the maximum number of deaths possible from the non-susceptible population?
A. | 3 | |
B. | 6 | |
C. | 7 | |
D. | 9 |
QUESTION 5
In a city of 8 million people, 38% are below the age of 60 and do not have any existing health issues. What is the range of the number of people likely to be infected? (The range is the difference between the minimum and the maximum numbers).
A. | 76 | |
B. | 149 | |
C. | 46 | |
D. | 194 |
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