The COVID-19 pandemic, and associated public health responses such as shutdowns, can be thought to include both a negative supply shock, and a negative demand shock.

Excerpt from article

Three macroeconomic issues and Covid-19

BY:LEONARDO CADAMUROANDFRANCESCO PAPADIA,DATE:MARCH 10, 2020

https://www.bruegel.org/2020/03/three-macroeconomic-issues-and-covid-19

Supply and demand and the COVID-19 shock

COVID-19 has had clear supply effects: quarantines, closed factories, supply chain disruptions and impaired mobility obviously affect production[1]. The effects on demand are more difficult to gauge but it is critical from an economic policy point of view to get a sense of them because we have more confidence about how to deal with demand (through monetary and fiscal tools) than with supply deficiencies.

Changes in real goods prices can indicate whether COVID-19 is causing major demand effects. Specifically, if aggregate supply effects dominate demand effects, we should see prices going up as activity goes down, in a kind of repeat of the stagflation of the 1970s. At that time, central banks were in a dilemma about whether to increase rates to fight inflation or to reduce rates to support economic activity. If prices remain largely unchanged, we can conclude that aggregate demand has also been substantially negatively affected by the spread of the virus.

Your Task:

Read the excerpt above (you may want to read the full article for context or for your own interest, but you do not need to refer to the additional content there).

Use the AD-AS model, including your own diagram/s, to explain why looking at prices would be a useful way to compare the relative magnitudes of the supply shock and demand shock.(No accurated needed, just draw rough graph)

Q2: AD shock correctly depicted on the diagram, 8.0 Pts 6.0 Pts 4.0 Pts 2.0 Pts 0.0 Pts and explained Outstanding / Criteria Expected Below No Exceptional very well Standard minimum marks 8.0 pts Achievement met met standard Q2: SRAS shock correctly on diagram, and 8.0 Pts 6.0 Pts 4.0 Pts 2.0 Pts 0.0 Pts explained Outstanding / Criteria Expected Below No Exceptional very well Standard minimum marks 8.0 pts Achievement met met standard Q2: Clear explanation and contrast of the 8.0 Pts 6.0 Pts 4.0 Pts 2.0 Pts 0.0 Pts outcomes of demand and supply shocks with Outstanding / Criteria Expected Below No regard to price level Exceptional very well Standard minimum marks 8.0 pts Achievement met met standard Explanation is correctly and clearly related to 10.0 Pts 7.5 Pts 5.0 Pts 2.5 Pts 0.0 Pts article excerpt and the specific case of Covid-19 Outstanding / Criteria Expected Below No Exceptional very well Standard minimum marks 10.0 pts Achievement met met standard