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The current price of crude oil is $32 . 00 per barrel. Forward prices for 3, 6, 9, and 12 months are $31 . 37,

The current price of crude oil is $32.00 per barrel. Forward prices for 3, 6, 9, and 12 months are $31.37, $30.75, $30.14, and $29.54. Assuming a 2% continuously-compounded annual risk-free rate.

  1. Suppose there is an active leasing market for crude oil with continuously-compounded annual lease rate q. What is the lease rate qfor each maturity?
  2. Suppose there is no leasing market or carry cost. What is the convenience yield cfor each maturity?
  3. Is this an example of contango or backwardation?

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