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The current price of firm A is $120. The yearly variance of returns is 18.5% and the continuously compounded yearly return is 13%. The CCIR
The current price of firm A is $120. The yearly variance of returns is 18.5% and the continuously compounded yearly return is 13%. The CCIR risk free is 6.21%. Assume T=1.25 year. The stock does not pay dividends. Assume that n=50. Using the risk-neutral measure (i.e., using risk-neutral probabilities), what is the probability that the price of the firm A is equal or larger than $150 at T=1.25?
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