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The data in Table P-1 are weekly prices for a stock. Table P-1 Week Prices Week Prices Week Prices Week Prices 1 333 16 265

The data in Table P-1 are weekly prices for a stock.

Table P-1

Week

Prices

Week

Prices

Week

Prices

Week

Prices

1

333

16

265

31

204

46

225

2

310

17

281

32

187

47

224

3

293

18

294

33

187

48

228

4

285

19

300

34

182

49

233

5

284

20

284

35

210

50

239

6

283

21

282

36

221

51

251

7

291

22

250

37

222

52

261

8

312

23

231

38

236

53

268

9

288

24

247

39

256

54

304

10

280

25

252

40

253

55

285

11

255

26

250

41

250

56

274

12

258

27

253

42

232

57

281

13

266

28

255

43

221

58

259

14

271

29

236

44

214

59

270

15

272

30

221

45

221

60

251

Is the time series data stationary? What correction would you recommend if the series is nonstationary?

Using MINITAB program for fitting an ARIMA model to the prices series, perform diagnostic checks to determine the adequacy of your fitted model.

After an appropriate ARIMA model has been found, write down the equation for forecasting the stock price for the week 61.

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