The data in the File San Fran Housing Demand represents the demand for single family housing in
Question:
The data in the File San Fran Housing Demand represents the demand for single family housing in a metropolitan area from 1990 - 2017. The data are coded as follows:
Quantity = Number of single family housing units sold in a year in San Diego MSA
Population = population of the metropolitan area in thousands
Price = average price of single family housing per square foot, $'s
Income = median income in the metropolitan area in thousand $'s.
Rent = average rent for apartments in the area, $'s
(Note: Price, Income, and Rent data are adjusted for inflation)
Use the data and a spreadsheet program to estimate the demand for single family housing in the metropolitan area. Brief report which includes the following:
- Analyze the overall validity of the model, including a discussion of the R2, adjusted R2.
- Discuss the significance of individual regression variables by using the t-statistics and the p-values.
- Should all variables be retained in the regression? If yes, please explain why and if no, please explain why not. If no, please re-estimate the model including only those variables that you think should be retained.
- Interpret the slope coefficients. Use the estimated model to predict sales of single family housing for 2021.
- Calculate the elasticity's for price, income, and rent. How do you interpret these elasticity's?
- Use the elasticity results (b) in your role as a consultant to a builder, Home Building Inc (HBI), to answer the following questions:
i. How will a slowing in the local economy affect the demand for the housing?
ii. A commercial developer is building many apartments in the same vicinity as the single family homes built by HBI. Should HBI be concerned?
iii. Could HBI increases the prices of the single family homes it is building?
Year | Quantity | Price | Income | Population | Rent | |||
1990 | 23059 | 224.5214 | 59.34509 | 1875.5 | 1547.859 | Price | Price per Sq Ft | |
1991 | 20453 | 225.7825 | 57.63596 | 1887.5 | 1532.78 | Income | Per Capita Income (000 $'s) | |
1992 | 20373 | 222.079 | 55.67568 | 1903.8 | 1503.119 | Population | 000 People | |
1993 | 20964 | 221.0202 | 55.45455 | 1929.1 | 1508.081 | Rent | $'s Typical 2 Bd Apt | |
1994 | 18953 | 218.9122 | 55.66794 | 1957.6 | 1500.672 | |||
1995 | 19417 | 219.9094 | 55.99638 | 1979.3 | 1500.223 | |||
1996 | 22913 | 224.1233 | 56.51982 | 2007 | 1536.564 | |||
1997 | 23491 | 228.1532 | 57.06383 | 2031.8 | 1570.213 | |||
1998 | 25876 | 235.1864 | 57.30956 | 2058.7 | 1559.157 | |||
1999 | 23245 | 243.4686 | 56.79939 | 2087.8 | 1539.051 | |||
2000 | 21949 | 243.0564 | 56.37283 | 2118.3 | 1549.133 | |||
2001 | 19645 | 240.5718 | 55.31381 | 2130 | 1546.025 | |||
2002 | 21024 | 235.3528 | 54.08412 | 2149.6 | 1530.221 | |||
2003 | 18567 | 231.2654 | 53.57238 | 2171.6 | 1490.453 | |||
2004 | 21879 | 227.2686 | 53.23625 | 2184.8 | 1490.615 | |||
2005 | 24176 | 223.5587 | 53.72449 | 2197.7 | 1510.334 | |||
2006 | 24686 | 222.6352 | 54.98446 | 2183.1 | 1548.222 | |||
2007 | 27341 | 225.2596 | 55.83995 | 2190.2 | 1582.162 | |||
2008 | 29462 | 233.547 | 56.7825 | 2214 | 1583.22 | |||
2009 | 25476 | 242.3264 | 57.25694 | 2245.5 | 1596.065 | |||
2010 | 30375 | 250.651 | 59.04814 | 2277.2 | 1585.886 | |||
2011 | 31368 | 249.9791 | 59.44561 | 2250.7 | 1575.9 | |||
2012 | 31987 | 250.3858 | 60.33431 | 2275.8 | 1580.998 | |||
2013 | 28915 | 248.2356 | 59.5032 | 2274.97 | 1578.888 | |||
2014 | 28500 | 249.1235 | 59.3427 | 2275.86 | 1580.026 | |||
2015 | 28435 | 250.4789 | 60.0321 | 2280.65 | 1584.332 | |||
2016 | 29995 | 251.5643 | 60.4568 | 2282.67 | 1589.456 | |||
2017 | 29579 | 252.12 | 60.501 | 2284.57 | 1592.45 | |||
2021 | 240 | 62 | 2345.7 | 1610 |