Question
The demand planner at a company needs to assist the production manager to develop an aggregate production plan. Following a consensus forecasting process the following
The demand planner at a company needs to assist the production manager to develop an aggregate production plan. Following a consensus forecasting process the following statistical forecast for the first six months of the following year were obtained.
Month | Demand Forecast |
January | 7500 |
February | 7800 |
March | 7900 |
April | 7700 |
May | 7850 |
June | 8100 |
However, the demand planner is aware that external factors, not include in the statistical forecasts,
May influence the demand forecasts. As part of a CPFR process, the demand planner managed to obtain the following additional information
. The sales department indicates that sales in January is generally lower and suggests that the statistical forecast for January needs to be adjusted by 5%
. Marketing is planning a promotional campaign March sales are expected to increase by 10% for the month
. One of the key customers is planning start revamp of one store in May which will result in the store being closed for three months. This will reduce the total number of stores to 20.
. Another customer is planning to open a new store in June the following year
Calculate the total forecasts that the demand planner may use to develop an aggregate production plan.
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