Question
The event tree for describing a disaster outcome given an initiating event. (Adapted from online source) The possible outcomes are: . No Runaway Reaction
The event tree for describing a disaster outcome given an initiating event. (Adapted from online source) The possible outcomes are: . No Runaway Reaction Gas Released is absorbed in Scrubber Gas will burn and no harmful gas s will escape Disaster reduced Catastrophe Given the Event Tree below and the values associated with each event, what is the probability that the outcome is Catastrophe after the initiating event has occurred? Give the answer to 4 decimal places. Event Refrigeration System Scrubber Flare Tower Water Curtain Emergency Plan Probability of "Failure" 0.28 0.25 0.44 0.1 0.34 Success Initial Event Refrigeration Scrubber Flare Tower System Water Curtain Emergency Plan Success Water Enters Tank Failure Success Failure Success Fallure Consequence No runaway reaction Gas release is absorbed in scrubber Gas will burn and no harmful gas will escape Disaster Reduced Success Disaster Reduced Failure Failure Catastrophe
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