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The Excel template provided contains monthly returns for three securities over five years. The securities are, Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND)tracks

The Excel template provided contains monthly returns for three securities over five years. The securities are,

  • Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND)tracks a very broad bond index.
  • Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund Investor Shares (VTTH) is very diversified and includes U.S. stocks, bonds, and some foreign-traded securities.
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares (VTI) tracks a very broad U.S. stock index.

***Please, respond to the following questions and provide all your calculation in the same Excel file.***

  1. For each month, calculate the Holding Period Returns for the three assets (monthly holding period returns). The prices in the files are adjusted because they already include the dividend or income component of the return.
  2. Over the period under analysis, what is the arithmetic average monthly return for each security?
  3. Over the period under analysis, what is the geometric average monthly return for each security? Suppose you invested $100 in each of the securities at the beginning of the period. How much money would you have had at the end of the period?
  4. Over the period under analysis, what is the variance of the monthly returns for each security? What about the standard deviation? Calculate the sample (unbiased) standard deviation.
  5. Calculate the Sharpe ratio for each of the securities. If you had invested 100 percent of your wealth in one of the three securities, which security offered a better risk/return tradeoff over the period analyzed? Assume that the risk-free monthly rate is 0.1% every month. This is an assumption, given that we do not have the actual monthly values for every month. In the end, you can subtract 0.1% from the average return for each risky security and divide it by its standard deviation. Assuming the returns provided are normally distributed, what is the probability that each of the securities' returns in any month will be negative?
  6. For each of the securities, calculate the skewness of the monthly returns. Hint: there is an Excel function to get this value. For the security VTI, is the distribution skewed to the left? To the right? Symmetrical?
  7. For each of the securities, calculate the kurtosis of the monthly returns. Hint: there is an Excel function to get this value. For the security VTI, are we in the presence of fat tails?
  8.  
  9. Calculate the Value at Risk (1%, normal) = Mean - 2.33 SD for each security.
  10.  


Info from Yahoo Finance








Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares (BND) BND 87.14 -0.03 -0.03% : Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares - Yahoo Finance
Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund Investor Shares (VTTHX) VTTHX 26.21 0.01 0.04% : Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund Investor Shares - Yahoo Finance
Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares (VTI) VTI 205.04 -0.89 -0.43% : Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares - Yahoo Finance


Date VTI Adj Close VTTHX Adj Close BND Adj Close
4/1/16 96.48542 15.520437 72.587387
5/1/16 98.158867 15.610671 72.59034
6/1/16 97.994286 15.637741 74.05172
7/1/16 102.340126 16.179152 74.502419
8/1/16 102.551399 16.242317 74.268417
9/1/16 102.257462 16.323528 74.351631
10/1/16 100.503494 16.025753 73.657364
11/1/16 105.016869 16.188177 71.758232
12/1/16 106.438263 16.007706 71.810226
1/1/17 109.090714 16.675169 72.270241
2/1/17 113.12149 17.070881 72.564888
3/1/17 112.675682 17.227325 72.545784
4/1/17 114.387474 17.466593 73.108459
5/1/17 115.544319 17.733471 73.634048
6/1/17 116.10408 17.843903 73.669014
7/1/17 118.831985 18.202805 73.968277
8/1/17 119.010071 18.285629 74.756119
9/1/17 121.390648 18.589315 74.559807
10/1/17 124.55896 18.902206 74.544159
11/1/17 128.333511 19.215094 74.459755
12/1/17 129.190048 19.040245 74.672569
1/1/18 136.61499 20.19594 74.0924
2/1/18 131.478836 19.492085 73.163475
3/1/18 128.376297 19.30439 73.674843
4/1/18 129.477005 19.370083 73.015175
5/1/18 133.000519 19.520237 73.531685
6/1/18 133.370895 19.46393 73.493462
7/1/18 138.380783 19.923782 73.640755
8/1/18 143.130524 20.120863 74.12719
9/1/18 142.729919 20.139629 73.722328
10/1/18 132.783539 18.900846 73.089943
11/1/18 135.457214 19.18239 73.542656
12/1/18 122.309196 17.662062 74.73597
1/1/19 133.534424 19.273506 75.942749
2/1/19 138.286667 19.687057 75.686707
3/1/19 139.491577 19.946732 77.167068
4/1/19 145.750534 20.485312 77.13575
5/1/19 136.349777 19.610117 78.548805
6/1/19 145.459763 20.629576 79.533134
7/1/19 148.062988 20.677662 79.653015
8/1/19 144.979324 20.475695 81.859535
9/1/19 146.885941 20.773836 81.40432
10/1/19 150.666504 21.187391 81.661865
11/1/19 156.373444 21.620178 81.625237
12/1/19 159.891373 21.658649 81.386978
1/1/20 160.66011 22.053774 83.361366
2/1/20 147.808868 20.872849 84.570061
3/1/20 126.655418 18.501158 83.374054
4/1/20 144.001099 20.124931 85.654854
5/1/20 151.771866 20.922054 86.248169
6/1/20 154.55629 21.44363 86.832832
7/1/20 164.17688 22.329325 88.103081
8/1/20 175.841446 23.283905 87.27829
9/1/20 168.928009 22.791853 87.196472
10/1/20 166.314377 22.408052 86.71389
11/1/20 185.944611 24.514034 87.764099
12/1/20 193.852493 24.819107 87.61763
1/1/21 193.990005 25.129999 87.291
2/1/21 205.929993 26.209999 87.021431

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