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The expected times and variances for the project activities follow. ID Description Predecessor te Variance Critical? A Pilot production None 7 2 Y B Select

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The expected times and variances for the project activities follow. ID Description Predecessor te Variance Critical? A Pilot production None 7 2 Y B Select channels of distrib None 13 C Develop mktg. program None 17 4 D Test market A 4 1 Y E Patent A 16 3 F Full production D 15 2 Y G Ad promotion C 8 H Release B,E, F,G 2 1 Y 1. Expected duration of the project (Te) : 2. Standard Deviation of the duration of the project ( o ) : For Z, round standard deviation to 2 decimal place (For example, 1.247 - 1.25), and use the closest z value in the table below. Do not use another table. Don't use % for Probability. The answer should be a decimal between 0 and 1. 3. The Probability of completing the project within 31 days : TABLE A7.2 Z Value Probability Z Value Probability Z Values and Probabilities -3.0 001 +0.0 500 -2.8 .003 +0.2 .579 -2.6 005 40.4 .655 -2.4 008 +0.6 .726 -2.2 .014 +0.8 788 -2.0 023 +1.0 .841 -1.8 036 + 1.2 .885 -1.6 .055 + 1.4 .919 -1.4 081 + 1.6 .945 -1.2 .115 4 1.8 964 1. Expected duration of the project (Te) : 2. Standard Deviation of the duration of the project ( ) : For Z, round standard deviation to 2 decimal place (For example, 1.247 -1.25), and use the closest z value in the table below. Do not use another table. Don't use % for Probability. The answer should be a decimal between 0 and 1. 3. The Probability of completing the project within 31 days : TABLE A7.2 Z Value Z Values and Probability Z Value Probability Probabilities 3.0 001 +0.0 500 -2.8 003 0.2 579 2.6 005 +04 .655 -24 008 +0.6 -2.2 .014 -0.8 -2.0 .023 +1.0 - 1.8 036 + 1.2 -1.6 .055 -1.4 081 #+1.6 -1.2 .115 +1.8 -1.0 .159 #2.0 -0.8 .212 +2.2 0.6 .274 +2.4 -0.4 345 0.2 421 +2.8 APRAssuming that the duration of the task is random and follows PERT Beta distribution, using the following information, Find the expectation and standard deviation of the duration. Unit: Day Worst case Task ID Best case Most likely Duration Duration Duration A 3 4 The expected duration of Task A : days The standard deviation of the duration : days Round up to two decimals/hundredth. (x.xx) Ac raw APR 20 4 Zalo{SOC has a contract to produce 9 satellites to support a worldwide telephone system (for Alaska Telecom, lnc.) that allows individuals to use a single, portable telephone in any location on Earth to call in and out. NSDC will develop and produce the 9 units' NSDC has estimated that the R&D costs will be NOK (Norwegian Krone) 11,000,000. Material costs are expected to be NOK 8,000,000 per satellite. They have estimated that the design and production of the rst satellite will require 100,000 labor hours, and an 70 percent improvement(Learning) curve is expected Skilled labor cost is NOK 340 per hour. How much will satellite number 4 (4th satellite) cost? Material cost + Labor cost only for 4th satellite (Do not include R&D cost). Short Answer Tooioar navigation B I L1 S :2 '5

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