The Financial Detective, 2016 Financial characteristics of companies vary for many reasons. The two most prominent drivers are industry economics and firm strategy. Each industry has a financial norm around which companies within the industry tend to operate. An airline, for example, would naturally be expected to have a high proportion of fixed assets (airplanes), while a consulting firm would not. A steel manufacturer would be expected to have a lower gross margin than a pharmaceutical manufacturer because commodities such as steel are subject to strong price competition, while highly differentiated products like patented drugs enjoy much more pricing freedom. Because of each industrys unique economic features, average financial statements will vary from one industry to the next. Similarly, companies within industries have different financial characteristics, in part because of the diverse strategies that can be employed. Executives choose strategies that will position their company favorably in the competitive jockeying within an industry. Strategies typically entail making important choices in how a product is made (e.g., capital intensive versus labor intensive), how it is marketed (e.g., direct sales versus the use of distributors), and how the company is financed (e.g., the use of debt or equity). Strategies among companies in the same industry can differ dramatically. Different strategies can produce striking differences in financial results for firms in the same industry. The following paragraphs describe pairs of participants in a number of different industries. Their strategies and market niches provide clues as to the financial condition and performance that one would expect of them. The companies common-sized financial statements and operating data, as of early 2016, are presented in a standardized format in Exhibit 1. It is up to you to match the financial data with the company descriptions. Also, try to explain the differences in financial results across industries. Airlines Companies A and B are airline companies. One firm is a major airline that flies both domestically and internationally and offers additional services including travel packages and airplane repair. The company owns a refinery to supply its own jet fuel as a hedge to fuel-price volatility. In 2008, this company merged with one of the largest airline carriers in the United States. The other company operates primarily in the United States, with some routes to the Caribbean and Latin America. It is the leading low-cost carrier in the United States. One source of operating efficiency is the fact that the company carries only three different aircraft in its fleet, making maintenance much simpler than for legacy airlines that might need to service 20 or 30 different aircraft models. This companys growth has been mostly organicit expands its routes by purchasing new aircraft and the rights to fly into new airports. Beer Of the beer companies, C and D, one is a national brewer of mass-market consumer beers sold under a variety of brand names. This company operates an extensive network of breweries and distribution systems. The firm also owns a number of beer-related businessessuch as snack-food and aluminum-container manufacturing companiesand several major theme parks. Over the past 12 years, it has acquired several large brewers from around the globe. The other company is the largest craft brewer in the United States. Like most craft brewers, this company produces higher-quality beers than the mass-market brands, but production is at a lower volume and the beers carry premium prices. The firm is financially conservative. Computers Companies E and F sell computers and related equipment. One company sells high-performance computing systems (supercomputers) to government agencies, universities, and commercial businesses. It has experienced considerable growth due to an increasing customer base. The company is financially conservative. The other company sells personal computers as well as handheld devices and software. The firm has been able to differentiate itself by using its own operating system for its computers and by creating new and innovative designs for all its products. These products carry premium prices domestically and globally. The company follows a vertical integration strategy starting with owning chip manufacturers and ending with owning its own retail stores. Hospitality Companies G and H are both in the hospitality business. One company operates hotels and residential complexes. Rather than owning the hotels, this firm chooses to manage or franchise its hotels. The company receives its revenues each month based on long-term contracts with the hotel owners, who pay a percentage of the hotel revenues as a management fee or franchise fee. Much of this companys growth is inorganicthe company buys the rights to manage existing hotel chains and also the rights to use the hotels brand name. This company has also pursued a strategy of repurchasing a significant percentage of the shares of its own common stock. The other company owns and operates several chains of upscale, full-service hotels and resorts. The firms strategy is to maintain market presence by owning all of its properties, which contributes to the high recognition of its industry-leading brands. Newspapers Companies I and J are newspaper companies. One company owns and operates two newspapers in the southwestern United States. Due to the transition of customer preference from print to digital, the company has begun offering marketing and digital-advertising services and acquiring firms in more profitable industries. The company has introduced cost controls to address cost-structure issues such as personnel expenses. Founded in 1851, the other company is renowned for its highly circulated newspaper offered both in print and online formats. This paper is sold and distributed domestically as well as around the world. Because the company is focused largely on one product, it has strong central controls that have allowed it to remain profitable despite the fierce competition for subscribers and advertising revenues. Pharmaceuticals Companies K and L manufacture and market pharmaceuticals. One firm is a diversified company that sells both human pharmaceuticals as well as health products for animals. This companys strategy is to stay ahead of the competition by investing in the discovery and development of new and innovative drugs. The other company focuses on generic pharmaceuticals and medical devices. Most of this companys growth has been inorganicthe growth strategy has been to engage in highly leveraged acquisitions, and it has participated in more than 100 during the past eight years. The goal of acquiring new businesses is to enhance the value of the proven drugs in the companys portfolio rather than gamble on discoveries of new drugs for the future. Power Companies M and N are in the power-generation industry. One company focuses on solar power. This includes the manufacturing and selling of power systems as well as maintenance services for those systems. The other company owns large, mostly coal-powered electric-power-generation plants in countries around the world. Most of its revenues result from power-purchase agreements with a countrys government that buy the power generated. Some of its U.S. assets include regulated public utilities. Retail Companies O and P are retailers. One is a leading e-commerce company that sells a broad range of products, including media (books, music, and videos) and electronics, which together account for 92% of revenues. One-third of revenues are international and 20% of sales come from third-party sellers (i.e., sellers who transact through the companys website to sell their own products rather than those owned by the company). A growing portion of operating profit comes from the companys cloud-computing business. With its desire to focus on customer satisfaction, this company has invested considerably in improving its online technologies. The other company is a leading retailer in apparel and fashion accessories for men, women, and children. The company sells mostly through its upscale brick-and-mortar department stores.

Read Case 6: The Financial Detective, 2016, and answer the following 2 questions:

1. Exhibit 6.1 presents common-sized financial statement and 4 categories of financial ratios for 8 pairs of companies in various industries. Please identify the best and worst performing industry in each of the following categories: liquidity (liquidity ratios), asset management(activity ratios), debt management (debt ratios ), and DuPont analysis ( profitability ratios), and provide reasoning.

2. Can you identify companies (provide names of companies that meet the financial description of A to P) from at least 2 industries, and provide reasoning from the company description and its financial profile.

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Beer Hospitalit Rata M 5 - D 15 9 9 P 5 N 25 $ 7 4 0 5 3 2 3 14 3 Adines B 6 10 4 2 1 1 5 17 16 75 0 1 25 1 13 8 100 100 Computers E 14 41 10 18 1 16 5 9 31 84 8 56 0 3 2 2 9 100 100 2 18 0 3 23 25 4 Pharmaceuticals K 1 13 5 11 3 10 2 2 11 35 3 23 0 10 85 26 1 100 100 o 30 10 16 0 56 33 O Newspapers 1 25 35 9 0 2 2 36 56 25 23 13 0 5 19 21 100 100 35 46 39 15 53 0 14 2 5 19 62 O 8 12 100 49 19 0 3 O 6 O 70 2 100 0 1 1 100 O 39 21 100 23 100 100 100 100 ASSETS (%) Cash & ST Investments Robles Inventor Current Assets-Other Current Assets-Total Net Property, Plant, & Equipment Long-Term Macetable Securities Goodwill & Intangibles Assets Other Assets-Total LIABILITIES & EQUITY) Amounts Payable Debt in Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Other Current Liabilities-Total Long-Term Debt Defend Tases Liabilities Other Liabilities-Total Stockholders' Equit Total Liabilities & Equity 2 4 5 3 24 9 4 1 2 5 - 5 1 2 5 19 26 16 14 6 0 11 17 0 9 12 4 12 28 18 S 10 5 35 53 63 6 6 0 12 18 0 19 23 8 21 32 9 11 13 19 50 4 0 20 24 0 0 5 29 71 100 13 0 31 5 15 52 13 2 14 80 8 12 23 10 0 32 66 34 17 O 20 38 36 0 15 89 8 15 14 1 15 47 53 100 0 0 0 12 3 12 0 13 59 41 59 46 80 20 100 66 34 29 11 100 37 24 26 159 (59 100 41 100 12 100 17 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 MARKET DATA Peise Emin Price to Book Donidend Prout LIQUIDITY Curent Kate 0.63 ASSET MANAGEMENT 37 83.0 Receivables Tumores Fred Assets Tumore DEBT MANAGEMENT Total Debt/Total Assets IT Debt/Shareholders' Equity) PONT ANALYSIS Net PeoSe les Asset Tumore Return on Equity sant = not a meaningful ga EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sired Financial Data and Ratios Airlines Beer Computers Assets F Cash & ST Investments Hospitality Newspaper Pharmaceuticals 0 H N P 8. NO wao. 98% won *** OO OO o OS OOOOH...2..38 O 19 OOOOoooo.. N90093380370038 OOOOOOo33.0 Minority Int. in Earnings Net Income 112 EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sized Financial Data and Ratios (continued) Airlines Beer Computers Power Retail Pharmaceuticals Hospitality Newspaper L M J N o P D E F G 1 H Market Data 1.15 1.15 1.20 100 272 1.10 109 2.4 0.0 Beta Price/Earnings Price to Book Dividend Payout 1 Liquidity 0.95 242 42 882 0.95 34.0 3.9 0.0 0.95 12.8 5.0 21.8 59.8 1.20 22.0 2.8 00 1.15 34.9 2.7 1.15 24.0 mm 29.5 0.95 mi 0.8 (39.4) 1.15 18.3 55 00 0.75 229 6.1 88.7 1.50 9.7 1.2 0.0 1.05 1.00 19.2 25.5 0.0 197.5 0.3 0.0 1.8 915 7.9 3.48 Current Ratio Quick Ratio 0.64 0.41 0.60 0.44 201 1.35 3.50 2.45 1.02 0.72 043 0.37 1.53 1.45 3.17 282 1.04 0.62 1.53 1.03 0.99 0.63 1.08 0.77 1.04 0.30 0.31 0.90 2.49 Asset Management 109.7 370 165 1.9 Inventory Turnove Receivables Tumover Fixed Assets Turnover 8.5 25.3 24 43.3 1.0 62.8 136 108 13.0 22 3.9 53 220 num 131 14.1 mi 7.1 2.4 61.2 83 4.8 2.3 43 7.6 7.7 17.8 1.6 5.9 2.5 11.7 17.6 58 0.6 93 2.5 0.6 Debt Management 589 79.6 62.4 13.6 Total Debt Total Assets LT DebtShareholders' Equity Interest Coverage DuPont Analysis 62.9 43.5 10.0 660 95.2 6.5 28.5 0.1 29.1 0.0 26.2 48 159.0 mm 8.1 65.7 29.3 42 45.7 87.7 0.0 501.9 1.7 59.0 54.6 23.2 83.0 292.5 1.9 242 5.2 74.1 79.5 88.7 61.5 320.9 102 972 30.1 Net Profit Marging Asset Turnover Return on Equity 11.1 0.8 46.0 10.6 0.8 23.6 19.0 0.3 19.7 103 1.5 219 22.8 0.9 462 3.8 1.1 5.8 4.9 0.3 2.9 4.0 0.6 8.1 16.6) 1.0 (148) (2.8) 0.3 15.0) 12.1 0.6 16.1 2.0 0.4 112 15.3 0.5 10.4 0.6 1.8 4.9 4.2 1.7 36.2 num nmfnot a meaningful figure Data sources: S&P Research Insight, Capital and Value Line Investment Survey Hospitality G Newspaper Powe Hatan M P EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sired Financial Data and Ratios Airlines Beer Computers Assets Cash & ST Investments 5 Receivables 14 3 10 18 Inventory Current Assets Other Current Assets-Total Net Property, Plant, & Equipment Long-Term Marketable Securities Goodwill & Intangibles Assets-Other Assets-Total NM 8 ans & olanuno 0 9 Llabilities & Equity Accounts Payable Debt in Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Other Current Liabilities-Total Long-Term Debt Deferred Taxes Liabilities-Other Liabilities-Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Equity Income/Expenses OO O OO Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Finance Div. Operating Exp. Interent Expense-Finance Division 0 Gross Profit SG&A Expense R&D Exp. Depreciation & Amort. Other Operating Experise Earnings before Interest and Taxes Net Interest Expense Other Pretax income Income Tax Expense Earnings of Discontinued Ops. Extraord. Item & Account Change Minority Int. in Earnings Net Income 2000 . Oooo3o... OOO.3.2..38 HOOD.333.9008 NOO9338.03.08 Hoodoogo338.03 8@RESENCE-EOOO- 111 EXHIBIT 6.1 I Common-Sized Financial Data and Ratios (continued) Airlines Beer Computers Hospitality Newspaper Pharmaceuticals Power Retail Market Data A B D F G H J K L M N O 1.15 1.20 10.0 3.9 7.9 1.10 10.9 2.4 0.0 0.95 242 4.2 88.2 0.95 34.0 3.9 0.0 0.95 128 50 21.8 1.20 22.0 2.8 0.0 1.15 59.8 0.3 0.0 1.15 240 nmr 29.5 34.9 2.7 41.8 0.95 not 0.8 (39.4) 1.15 18.3 5.5 0.0 0.75 22.9 6.1 88.7 1.15 27.2 1.8 91.5 1.50 9.7 1.2 0.0 1.05 mit 255 0.0 1.00 19.2 6.4 197.5 Beta Price Earnings Price to Book Dividend Payout Liquidity Current Ratio Quick Ratio 0.52 0.31 0.60 0.44 0.64 0.41 2.01 1.11 0.90 1.35 3.50 2.45 1.02 0.72 0.43 0.37 1.53 1.45 3.17 2.82 1.04 0.62 1.53 1.03 0.99 0.63 3.48 2.49 108 1.04 0.30 0.77 Asset Management 61.2 7.7 Inventory Turnover Receivables Turnover Fixed Assets Turnover 37.0 16.5 1.9 85.4 43.3 1.0 5.9 130 2.2 8.5 253 2.4 62.8 13.6 10.8 3.9 5.3 22.0 109.7 8.8 0.6 13.1 14.1 nim 7.1 2.4 8.3 4.8 2.3 4.3 7.6 1.6 5.9 25 17.6 58 0.6 4.6 93 25 17.8 4.9 11.7 4.1 5.5 Debt Management Total Debt Total Assets) LT Debu Shareholders' Equity Interest Coverage DuPont Analysis 242 79.6 62.4 13.6 62.9 43.5 10.0 66.0 95.2 6.5 28.5 0.1 nim 58.9 44.8 97.2 29.1 0.0 nmd 47.4 26.2 159.0 nmt 8.1 65.7 29.3 4.2 45.7 87.7 0.0 501.9 1.7 59.0 83.0 54,6 292.5 23.2 1.9 5.2 74.1 79.5 61.5 4.9 88.7 320.9 102 3.8 Net Profit Margin (9 Asset Turnover Return on Equity 11.1 0.B 46.0 10.6 0.8 23.6 19.0 0.3 19.7 10.3 1.5 219 22.8 0.9 462 4.9 0.3 2.9 30.1 2.4 nim 4,0 0.6 8.1 (6.6) 1.0 (14.87 (2.8) 0.3 (5.0) 12.1 0.6 16.1 20 0.4 11.2 15.3 0.5 104 0.6 1.8 4.9 5.8 1.7 362 mfnot a meaningful figure Data sources: S&P Research Insight, Capital I, and Value Line Investment Survey Beer Hospitalit Rata M 5 - D 15 9 9 P 5 N 25 $ 7 4 0 5 3 2 3 14 3 Adines B 6 10 4 2 1 1 5 17 16 75 0 1 25 1 13 8 100 100 Computers E 14 41 10 18 1 16 5 9 31 84 8 56 0 3 2 2 9 100 100 2 18 0 3 23 25 4 Pharmaceuticals K 1 13 5 11 3 10 2 2 11 35 3 23 0 10 85 26 1 100 100 o 30 10 16 0 56 33 O Newspapers 1 25 35 9 0 2 2 36 56 25 23 13 0 5 19 21 100 100 35 46 39 15 53 0 14 2 5 19 62 O 8 12 100 49 19 0 3 O 6 O 70 2 100 0 1 1 100 O 39 21 100 23 100 100 100 100 ASSETS (%) Cash & ST Investments Robles Inventor Current Assets-Other Current Assets-Total Net Property, Plant, & Equipment Long-Term Macetable Securities Goodwill & Intangibles Assets Other Assets-Total LIABILITIES & EQUITY) Amounts Payable Debt in Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Other Current Liabilities-Total Long-Term Debt Defend Tases Liabilities Other Liabilities-Total Stockholders' Equit Total Liabilities & Equity 2 4 5 3 24 9 4 1 2 5 - 5 1 2 5 19 26 16 14 6 0 11 17 0 9 12 4 12 28 18 S 10 5 35 53 63 6 6 0 12 18 0 19 23 8 21 32 9 11 13 19 50 4 0 20 24 0 0 5 29 71 100 13 0 31 5 15 52 13 2 14 80 8 12 23 10 0 32 66 34 17 O 20 38 36 0 15 89 8 15 14 1 15 47 53 100 0 0 0 12 3 12 0 13 59 41 59 46 80 20 100 66 34 29 11 100 37 24 26 159 (59 100 41 100 12 100 17 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 MARKET DATA Peise Emin Price to Book Donidend Prout LIQUIDITY Curent Kate 0.63 ASSET MANAGEMENT 37 83.0 Receivables Tumores Fred Assets Tumore DEBT MANAGEMENT Total Debt/Total Assets IT Debt/Shareholders' Equity) PONT ANALYSIS Net PeoSe les Asset Tumore Return on Equity sant = not a meaningful ga EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sired Financial Data and Ratios Airlines Beer Computers Assets F Cash & ST Investments Hospitality Newspaper Pharmaceuticals 0 H N P 8. NO wao. 98% won *** OO OO o OS OOOOH...2..38 O 19 OOOOoooo.. N90093380370038 OOOOOOo33.0 Minority Int. in Earnings Net Income 112 EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sized Financial Data and Ratios (continued) Airlines Beer Computers Power Retail Pharmaceuticals Hospitality Newspaper L M J N o P D E F G 1 H Market Data 1.15 1.15 1.20 100 272 1.10 109 2.4 0.0 Beta Price/Earnings Price to Book Dividend Payout 1 Liquidity 0.95 242 42 882 0.95 34.0 3.9 0.0 0.95 12.8 5.0 21.8 59.8 1.20 22.0 2.8 00 1.15 34.9 2.7 1.15 24.0 mm 29.5 0.95 mi 0.8 (39.4) 1.15 18.3 55 00 0.75 229 6.1 88.7 1.50 9.7 1.2 0.0 1.05 1.00 19.2 25.5 0.0 197.5 0.3 0.0 1.8 915 7.9 3.48 Current Ratio Quick Ratio 0.64 0.41 0.60 0.44 201 1.35 3.50 2.45 1.02 0.72 043 0.37 1.53 1.45 3.17 282 1.04 0.62 1.53 1.03 0.99 0.63 1.08 0.77 1.04 0.30 0.31 0.90 2.49 Asset Management 109.7 370 165 1.9 Inventory Turnove Receivables Tumover Fixed Assets Turnover 8.5 25.3 24 43.3 1.0 62.8 136 108 13.0 22 3.9 53 220 num 131 14.1 mi 7.1 2.4 61.2 83 4.8 2.3 43 7.6 7.7 17.8 1.6 5.9 2.5 11.7 17.6 58 0.6 93 2.5 0.6 Debt Management 589 79.6 62.4 13.6 Total Debt Total Assets LT DebtShareholders' Equity Interest Coverage DuPont Analysis 62.9 43.5 10.0 660 95.2 6.5 28.5 0.1 29.1 0.0 26.2 48 159.0 mm 8.1 65.7 29.3 42 45.7 87.7 0.0 501.9 1.7 59.0 54.6 23.2 83.0 292.5 1.9 242 5.2 74.1 79.5 88.7 61.5 320.9 102 972 30.1 Net Profit Marging Asset Turnover Return on Equity 11.1 0.8 46.0 10.6 0.8 23.6 19.0 0.3 19.7 103 1.5 219 22.8 0.9 462 3.8 1.1 5.8 4.9 0.3 2.9 4.0 0.6 8.1 16.6) 1.0 (148) (2.8) 0.3 15.0) 12.1 0.6 16.1 2.0 0.4 112 15.3 0.5 10.4 0.6 1.8 4.9 4.2 1.7 36.2 num nmfnot a meaningful figure Data sources: S&P Research Insight, Capital and Value Line Investment Survey Hospitality G Newspaper Powe Hatan M P EXHIBIT 6.1 Common-Sired Financial Data and Ratios Airlines Beer Computers Assets Cash & ST Investments 5 Receivables 14 3 10 18 Inventory Current Assets Other Current Assets-Total Net Property, Plant, & Equipment Long-Term Marketable Securities Goodwill & Intangibles Assets-Other Assets-Total NM 8 ans & olanuno 0 9 Llabilities & Equity Accounts Payable Debt in Current Liabilities Current Liabilities Other Current Liabilities-Total Long-Term Debt Deferred Taxes Liabilities-Other Liabilities-Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities & Equity Income/Expenses OO O OO Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Finance Div. Operating Exp. Interent Expense-Finance Division 0 Gross Profit SG&A Expense R&D Exp. Depreciation & Amort. Other Operating Experise Earnings before Interest and Taxes Net Interest Expense Other Pretax income Income Tax Expense Earnings of Discontinued Ops. Extraord. Item & Account Change Minority Int. in Earnings Net Income 2000 . Oooo3o... OOO.3.2..38 HOOD.333.9008 NOO9338.03.08 Hoodoogo338.03 8@RESENCE-EOOO- 111 EXHIBIT 6.1 I Common-Sized Financial Data and Ratios (continued) Airlines Beer Computers Hospitality Newspaper Pharmaceuticals Power Retail Market Data A B D F G H J K L M N O 1.15 1.20 10.0 3.9 7.9 1.10 10.9 2.4 0.0 0.95 242 4.2 88.2 0.95 34.0 3.9 0.0 0.95 128 50 21.8 1.20 22.0 2.8 0.0 1.15 59.8 0.3 0.0 1.15 240 nmr 29.5 34.9 2.7 41.8 0.95 not 0.8 (39.4) 1.15 18.3 5.5 0.0 0.75 22.9 6.1 88.7 1.15 27.2 1.8 91.5 1.50 9.7 1.2 0.0 1.05 mit 255 0.0 1.00 19.2 6.4 197.5 Beta Price Earnings Price to Book Dividend Payout Liquidity Current Ratio Quick Ratio 0.52 0.31 0.60 0.44 0.64 0.41 2.01 1.11 0.90 1.35 3.50 2.45 1.02 0.72 0.43 0.37 1.53 1.45 3.17 2.82 1.04 0.62 1.53 1.03 0.99 0.63 3.48 2.49 108 1.04 0.30 0.77 Asset Management 61.2 7.7 Inventory Turnover Receivables Turnover Fixed Assets Turnover 37.0 16.5 1.9 85.4 43.3 1.0 5.9 130 2.2 8.5 253 2.4 62.8 13.6 10.8 3.9 5.3 22.0 109.7 8.8 0.6 13.1 14.1 nim 7.1 2.4 8.3 4.8 2.3 4.3 7.6 1.6 5.9 25 17.6 58 0.6 4.6 93 25 17.8 4.9 11.7 4.1 5.5 Debt Management Total Debt Total Assets) LT Debu Shareholders' Equity Interest Coverage DuPont Analysis 242 79.6 62.4 13.6 62.9 43.5 10.0 66.0 95.2 6.5 28.5 0.1 nim 58.9 44.8 97.2 29.1 0.0 nmd 47.4 26.2 159.0 nmt 8.1 65.7 29.3 4.2 45.7 87.7 0.0 501.9 1.7 59.0 83.0 54,6 292.5 23.2 1.9 5.2 74.1 79.5 61.5 4.9 88.7 320.9 102 3.8 Net Profit Margin (9 Asset Turnover Return on Equity 11.1 0.B 46.0 10.6 0.8 23.6 19.0 0.3 19.7 10.3 1.5 219 22.8 0.9 462 4.9 0.3 2.9 30.1 2.4 nim 4,0 0.6 8.1 (6.6) 1.0 (14.87 (2.8) 0.3 (5.0) 12.1 0.6 16.1 20 0.4 11.2 15.3 0.5 104 0.6 1.8 4.9 5.8 1.7 362 mfnot a meaningful figure Data sources: S&P Research Insight, Capital I, and Value Line Investment Survey