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The following data represents the monthly electrical expense for an office space over the past three years. You are considering opening a new business in

The following data represents the monthly electrical expense for an office space over the past three years. You are considering opening a new business in this office space and are preparing an expected budget for your business plan.

Month

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

January

170

180

195

February

180

205

210

March

205

215

230

April

230

245

280

May

240

265

290

June

315

330

390

July

360

400

420

August

290

335

330

September

240

260

290

October

240

270

295

November

230

255

280

December

195

220

250

a) Using overall average develop a seasonal index for each month and report your results.

b) Using centered moving average develop a seasonal index for each month and report your results.

c) Using the centered moving average data to predict the electric bill for each month of next year. Report your results.

d) Use the data below to predict the electric bill for each month of next year using linear trend and the seasonal index from the overall average. Report your results.

Month

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

January

247.852

262.431

284.3

February

240.378

273.764

280.441

March

250.599

262.824

281.16

April

242.058

257.845

294.68

May

239.874

264.861

289.848

June

241.83

253.345

299.408

July

242.415

269.35

282.818

August

241.287

278.728

274.568

September

241.392

261.508

291.682

October

236.894

266.506

291.183

November

238.894

264.861

290.828

December

232.998

262.87

298.716

e) Compare the results between your predictions in parts c and d. Which set of predictions would you use? Explain your answer.

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