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The following events, everything else being equal, will definitely make a currency fall: Lower inflation vs. other countries and an excess of exports over imports
The following events, everything else being equal, will definitely make a currency fall: Lower inflation vs. other countries and an excess of exports over imports Rising inflation vs. other countries plus an excess of exports over imports Lower interest rates vs. other countries plus a more risky political environment A less risky political environment plus lower interest rates vs. other countries A fiscal surplus plus rising interest rates
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