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The following five activities are on the critical path of a project and their durations and distributions are specified below: Activity Duration (mean/mode) Distribution A

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The following five activities are on the critical path of a project and their durations and distributions are specified below: Activity Duration (mean/mode) Distribution A 6 Normal with standard deviation 1.5 B 9 Triangular with max = 13, min = 7 C 14 Normal with standard deviation 3 D 12 Normal with standard deviation 2 E 17 Triangular with max = 20, min = 12 The project manager calculates the length of the critical path by summing the durations of the five activities: 6 + 9 + 14 + 12 + 17 = 58. The project sponsor would like to know how likely the project is to finish in less than 62 days. Calculate this likelihood using Crystal Ball? (You may assume that all other begin-end paths Will definitely complete in less than 53 days because their lengths are way lower than 58.) Question 30 options: Almost 100% Roughly 90% Roughly 80% Roughly 60%

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