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The following is a version of the Taylor-rule for the US Fed, r=0.01+0.5 frac{(y-y*)}{y*}+0.5pi r=0.01+0.5y (yy) +0.5 wherer ris the real Federal Funds rate (policy
The following is a version of the Taylor-rule for the US Fed,
r=0.01+0.5 \frac{(y-y*)}{y*}+0.5\pi
r=0.01+0.5y
(yy)
+0.5
wherer
ris the real Federal Funds rate (policy rate set by the Fed),y
yis output,y*
yis potential output and\pi
is the rate of inflation.
- According to this Taylor rule, if US GDP is at potential and inflation is 2 percent (0.02 as a decimal), what will be the value of the real Federal Funds rate?
- In April 2010 the nominal US Federal Funds rate was about 0.20 percent (0.002 in decimals) and annual US inflation was about 2.25 percent (0.0225 in decimals).
- What was the value of the (ex-post) real Federal Funds rate? Does this make economic sense?
- Use the above Taylor-rule to calculate the implied size of the output gap for the US.
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