Question
The following table shows the possible states of the milk market for the coming year, and the returns Dairy Farmers Ltd and Magic Milkshakes Ltd
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The following table shows the possible states of the milk market for the coming year, and the returns Dairy Farmers Ltd and Magic Milkshakes Ltd expect under the different milk price scenarios.
Milk Market
Probability
Dairy Farmers Ltd Return
Magic Milkshakes Ltd Return
High Milk Prices
15%
15%
-18%
Average Milk Prices
55%
8%
12%
Low Milk Prices
30%
-10%
20%
- Calculate the expected return of Dairy Farmers Ltd, Magic Milkshakes Ltd and a portfolio with 60% of funds invested in Dairy Farmers Ltd and 40% invested in Magic Milkshakes Ltd.
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(b) Calculate the risk of both the individual company expected returns, and the risk of the portfolio mentioned in (a). The correlation between the returns of the two companies is -0.2.
(c) Interpret your calculations in (a) and (b) regarding the expectations for the portfolio, assuming a normal distribution.
(d) Is the investor better off investing in the portfolio, or should he/she pick just one? Justify your recommendation.
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