Question
The forecasting equation for the exchange rate between the Kenya shilling and the US dollar is Y t = a + b 1 X 1t
The forecasting equation for the exchange rate between the Kenya shilling and the US dollar is
Yt= a + b1X1t+b2X2t
Where:
Ytis the direct quote
X1tis the inflation rate differential in percentage
X2tis the growth rate in GNP differential between the two countries in percentage
Historical data has been collected and processed using a multiple regression computer package yielding the following results: a = 70, b1= 3.5 and b2= -2.2
The forecast inflation rate in the US is 5% while in Kenya is 10%. The GNP growth rate is 14% in the US and 6% in Kenya.
Required
The direct quote between the Kenya shilling and the US dollar is______
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