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The forecasts obtained for the last 4 periods (2019.M11-2020.M02) of the variable under analysis, the National Birth rate Index - ln_ Birth rate_Index -, applying

The forecasts obtained for the last 4 periods (2019.M11-2020.M02) of the variable under analysis, the National Birth rate Index -ln_ Birth rate_Index-, applying the best stochastical model have been the following ones: 4.79; 4.78; 4.73; 4.70.

According to these results, which methodolody would you finally end up using, the classical or the stochastical? Perform all the calculus you need to explain why.

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