Answered step by step
Verified Expert Solution
Link Copied!

Question

1 Approved Answer

The General Manager of TAN Airlines wanted to make a decision as to whether Dodoma, thecapital city of Tanzania, could be a candidate for a

The General Manager of TAN Airlines wanted to make a decision as to whether Dodoma, thecapital city of Tanzania, could be a candidate for a new destination. According to her, thereare two options. These options are 1 day a week or 7 days a week. The subject was researchedby a group that provided decision support to the management. The group stated that thesuccess of the destination to be opened depends on whether the market's demand isfavourable or unfavourable. It has been determined that the fixed costs for both alternativeswill be 70,000 TL per month, and the cost of the daily round-trip of aircraft between Istanbuland Dodoma will be 15,000 TL per round trip. It has been learned that a plane of 120 peoplewill be planned for the new destination. It has been determined that when the market isfavourable, a round trip will be 50% full on average, and if there is only one round trip flightper week, the occupancy of this round-trip flight will increase to 80%. It has been determinedthat when the market is unfavourable, the rates in favourable times will decrease by half. Thegroup also considered that it would be possible to never open the new destination.QUESTIONS:1. Prepare the decision table for the solution of the decision problem. (15 points)2. A group of analysts claimed that the Chairman of the Board of TAN Airlines was a pessimist.What will be decision in that case? (10 points)3. After discussing in the group whether the manager was pessimistic or not, it wasdetermined that the probability of both positions was 50% for being pessimistic oroptimistic. What will be decision in that case? (10 points)4. Finally, the group agreed that it would be better to use a method that minimizes the lossof opportunity. What will be decision in that case? (10 points)5. Solve Questions-2, Questions-3 and Questions-4 by Quantitative Methods (QM) Tools incomputer and provide solution files for each. (10 points)6. In the given situation, it has been determined that the probability of the market beingfavourable and unfavourable is 30% and 70%, respectively. What is the long-run averagereturn if we have perfect information before a decision is made? (EVwPI)?(10 points)7. In the given situation, it has been determined that the probability of the market beingfavourable and unfavourable is 30% and 70%, respectively. What is the upper bound onwhat you should pay for additional information? (EVPI)?(10 points)8. Apply one-way sensitivity analysis to this problem and find out probability values thatmake alternatives different form each other? (15 points)9. Please set up your decision tree with all necessary elements (10 points)

Step by Step Solution

There are 3 Steps involved in it

Step: 1

blur-text-image

Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions

See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success

Step: 2

blur-text-image

Step: 3

blur-text-image

Ace Your Homework with AI

Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance

Get Started

Recommended Textbook for

Introduction to Operations and Supply Chain Management

Authors: Cecil B. Bozarth, Robert B. Handfield

5th edition

134740602, 134740912, 9780134692869 , 978-0134740607

More Books

Students also viewed these General Management questions