Question
The Heinrich Tire Company recalled a tire in its subcompact line in December 2013. Costs associated with the recall were originally thought to approximate $41
The Heinrich Tire Company recalled a tire in its subcompact line in December 2013. Costs associated with the recall were originally thought to approximate $41 million. Now, though, while management feels it is probable the company will incur substantial costs, all discussions indicate that $41 million is an excessive amount. Based on prior recalls in the industry, management has provided the following probability distribution for the potential loss (FV of $1, PV of $1, FVA of $1, PVA of $1, FVAD of $1 and PVAD of $1)(Use appropriate factor(s) from the tables provided): |
Loss Amount | Probability |
$31 million | 20% |
$21 million | 50% |
$11 million | 30% |
An arrangement with a consortium of distributors requires that all recall costs be settled at the end of 2014. The risk-free rate of interest is 5%. |
Required: |
1. | Applying the expected cash flow approach of SFAC No. 7, estimate Heinrich?s liability at the end of the 2013 fiscal year. (Enter your answer in whole dollars.) |
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