Question
The (IBM) free cash flows and NPV of a proposed new type of tablet computer similar in size to an iPad but with the operating
The (IBM) free cash flows and NPV of a proposed new type of tablet computer similar in size to an iPad but with the operating power of a high-end desktop system.
Development of the new system will initially require an initial capital expenditure equal to 10% of IBM's Property, Plant, and Equipment (PPE) at the end of the latest fiscal year for which data is available. The project will then require an additional investment equal to 10% of the initial investment after the first year of the project, a 5% increase after the second year, and a 1% increase after the third, fourth, and fifth years. The product is expected to have a life of five years. First-year revenues for the new product are expected to be 3% of IBM's total revenue for the latest fiscal year for which data is available. The new product's revenues are expected to grow at 15% for the second year then 10% for the third and 5% annually for the final two years of the expected life of the project.The rest of the cash flows associated with this project.The operating costs and net working capital requirements are like the rest of thecompany and that depreciation is straight-line for capital budgeting purposes:
- Compute the Free Cash Flow for each year using
UnleveredNetIncome
Set up the timeline and computation of free cash flow in separate, contiguous columns for each year of the project life. Be sure to make outflows negative and inflows positive.
- Assume that the project's profitability will be like IBM's existing projects in the latest fiscal year and estimate(revenuescosts) (revenuescosts)each year by using the latest EBITDA/Sales profit margin. Calculate EBITDA asEBIT+DepreciationEBIT+Depreciationexpense from the cash flow statement.
- Determine the annual depreciation by assuming IBM depreciates these assets by the straight-line method over a five-year life.
- Determine IBM's tax rate by using the current U.S. federal corporate income tax rate.
- Calculate the net working capital required each year by assuming that the level of NWC will be a constant percentage of the project's sales. Use IBM's NWC/Sales for the latest fiscal year to estimate the required percentage. (Use only accounts receivable, accounts payable, and inventory to measure working capital. Other components of current assets and liabilities are harder to interpret and not necessarily reflective of the project's required NWCfor example, IBM's cash holdings.)
- To determine the free cash flow, deduct the additional capital investment and thechangein net working capital each year.
- Use Excel to determine the NPV of the project with a 12% cost of capital. Also calculate the IRR of the project using Excel's IRR function.
- Perform a sensitivity analysis by varying the project forecasts as follows:
- Suppose first year sales will equal 2%-4% of IBM's revenues.
- Suppose the cost of capital is 10%-15%.
- Suppose revenue growth is constant after the first year at a rate of 0%-10%.
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) Statement of CASH FLOW
.12/31/201812/31201712/31/201612/31/2015TTM
Cash Flows from Operating Activities
Net income8,728,0005,753,00011,872,00013,190,0007,712,000.00
Depreciation & amortize 4,480,0004,541,0004,381,0003,855,0005,521,000.00
Deferred income taxes853,000 -931,000 -1,132,0001,387,000
Stock based comp510,000 534,000 544,000 468,000 607,000
Change in WC554,000 6,813,0001,231,000-2,444,000604,000
Account receivable-345,000 419,0001,218,000200,000
Inventory-127,000 18,000-14,000133,000
Account Payable 126,00047,000197,00081,000
Other working capital11,283,00012,951,00012,808,00012,857,00012,780,000
Other non-cash items-1,0001,000544,000 -200,000
Net cash by operating15,247,00016,724,00016,958,00017,008,00015.438,000
Cash flows from investing activities
Invest in property, plant,& -3,964,000-3,773,000-4,150,000-4,151,000-2,658,000
Acquisitions, net-139,000 -701,000 -6,133,000-3,750,000-32,646,000
Purchases of investments-7,041,000-4,964,000-5,917,000-3,073,000
Sales/Maturities of investments6,487,0003,910,0005,692,0002,842,000
Other investing activities-504,000 -2,028,000-892,000 -397,000 -882,000
Net cash used for investing activities-4,913,000-7,096,000-10,976,000-8,159,000-26,609,000
Cash flows from financing activities
Debt repayment-8,533,000-6,816,000-6,395,000-5,622,000
Common stock issued204,000 322,000
Common stock repurchased-4,614,000-4,533,000-3,502,000-4,609,000-3,434,000
Dividend paid-5,666,000-5,506,000-5,256,000-4,897,000-5,685,000
Other financing activities112,000 174,000 204,000 321,000 -89,000
Net cash used provided by (used for financing activities-10,470,000-6,417,000-5,791,000-9,165,00010,112,000
Net change in cash-630,000 4,146,000140,000 -790,000 -1,506,000
Cash at the beginning of period12,234,0007,826,0007,686,0008,476,00011,731,000
Cash at end of period11,604,00011,972,0007,826,0007,686,000
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow15,247,00016,724,00016,958,00017,008,00015,438,000
Capital Expenditure-3,964,000-3,773,000-4,150,000-4,151,000-2,658,000
Free Cash Flow11,283,00012,951,00012,808,00012,857,00012,780,000
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) INCOME STATEMENT
BreakdownTTM12/31/201812/31/201712/31/201612/31/2015
Total Revenue77,131,00079,590,00079,139,00079,920,00081,742,000
Cost of revenue41,055,00042,655,00042,913,00041,625,00041,057,000
Gross profit36,075,00036,936,00036,227,00038,294,00040,684,000
Operating expenses
Research development5,751,0005,379,0005,787,0005,751,0005,247,000
Selling General and administrative19,754,00018,863,00019,555,00020,479,00019,894,000
Total operating expenses24,938,00023,651,00024,372,00025,102,00024,763,000
Operating Income or Loss 11,137,00013,285,00011,855,00013,192,00015,921,000
Interest Expense1,183,000723,000 615,000 630,000 468,000
Total Other income Expenses Net578,000 -1,482,00017,000-339,000 421,000
Income before taxes10,607,00011,342,0011,400,00012,330,00015,945,000
Income Tax Expenses2,888,0002,619,0005,642,000449,000 2,581,000
Income from continuing operations 7,719,0008,723,0005,758,00011,881,00013,364,000
Net income7,712,0008,728,0005,753,00011,872,00013,190,000
Net income available to common shareholders7,712,0008,728,0005,753,00011,872,0013,190,000
Reported Earnings per share
Basic9.576.1712.4313.48
Diluted9.526.1412.3813.42
Weighted average shares outstanding
Basic912,000 932,800 955,400 978,700
Diluted916,300 937,400 958,700 982,700
EBITDA16,545,00016,556,00017,341,00020,268,000
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (IBM) BALANCE SHEET
12/31/201812/31/201712/31/201612/31/2015
Assets
Current assets
Cash
Cash and cash equivalents 11,379,00011,972,0007,826,0007,686,000
Short-term investments618,000 608,000 701,000 508,000
Total cash11,997,00012,580,0008,527,0008,194,000
Net Receivables29,820,00030,649,00028,188,00027,353,000
Inventories1,682,0001,583,0001,553,0001,551,000
Other current assets1,000-1,000-1,0000
Total current assets49,146,00049,735,00043,888,00042,504,000
Non-current assets
Property, plant and equipment
Gross property, plant and equipment32,461,00032,331,00030,134,00029,341,000
Accumulated Depreciation -21,668,000-21,215,000-19,303,000-18,616,000
Net property, plant and equipment10,793,00011,116,00010,831,00010,725,000
Equity and other investments226,000 122,000 -19,303,000475,000
Goodwill36,265,0003118410,831,000320,210,000
Intangible assets3,088,0003,741,0004,689,0003,486,000
Other long-term assets296,000 572,000 729,000 571,000
Total non-current assets74,237,00075,620,00073,584,00067,987,000
Total assets119213125,356,000117,470,000110,495,000
Liabilities and stockholders' equity
Liabilities
Current liabilities
Total Revenue10,207,0006,986,0007,513,0006,461,000
Accounts payable 6,558,0006,451,0006,209,0006,028,000
Taxes payable
Accrued liabilities3,941,0004,510,0004,705,0004,363,000
Deferred revenues11,165,00011,552,00011,035,00011,021,000
Other current liabilities7,251,0001,0001,000-1,000
Total current liabilities38,227,00037,363,00036,275,00034,269,000
Non-current liabilities
Long-term debt35,605,00039,837,00034,655,00033,428,000
Deferred taxes liabilities3,696,000545,000 424,000 253,000
Deferred revenues3,445,0003,746,0003,600,0003,771,000
Other long-term liabilities1,719,0001,721,0001,778,0002,063,000
Total non-current liabilities68,226,00070,268,00062,803,00061,802,000
Total liabilities106,453,000107,631,00099,078,00096,071,000
Stockholders' equity
Common stock55,151,00054,566,00053,935,00053,262,000
Retained earnings159,206,000153,126,000152,759,000146,124,000
Accumulated other comprehensive income-29,490,000-26,592,000-29,398,000-29,607,000
Total stockholders' equity16,796,00017,594,00018,246,00014,262,000
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity123,382,000125,356,000117,470,000110,495,000
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