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The Importance of Random Selection Background This exercise will demonstrate that random selection is important for obtaining a representative sample of the population in order

The Importance of Random Selection

Background

This exercise will demonstrate that random selection is important for obtaining a representative sample of the population in order to avoid bias. Bias is when we consistently overestimate or underestimate a population parameter.

In statistics, we often want to extend results beyond the particular group studied to a larger group, the population. We are trying to gain information about the population by examining a portion of the population, called a sample. Such generalizations are only valid if the data (sample) are representative of that larger group (population). A representative sample is one in which the relevant characteristics of the sample members are generally the same as those of the population. Improper or biased sample selection tends to systematically favor certain outcomes and can produce misleading results and erroneous conclusions.

Suppose a park is being tested for an infestation of aphids, which can impact the radial growth (diameter) of the trees. The tree map represent the diameters of a population of 80 tree trunks in a park. There are only 3 sizes of tree trunks: small, medium, and large. A sample of tree diameters needs to be measured to see if the average diameter of the trees in the park is similar to other parks. Two sampling methods will be utilized: Judgement sample, and Simple Random sample. The resulting estimates of mean (average) diameters will be compared to the population diameter to see which sample was a better estimate.

Below is a map of the trees numbered 1-80. When selecting the trees, the numbers on the map are the identifier of the trees and the diameter can be estimated by the size of the circle. For example, Tree number 16 is a small, 8 is a medium, and 17 is a large. They have diameters of 1, 2, and 3 respectively.

Tree diameters population

Tree NumberDiameterSize
12M
21S
32M
41S
51S
61S
71S
82M
91S
101S
111S
121S
131S
142M
151S
161S
173L
181S
191S
202M
211S
221S
231S
241S
251S
261S
271S
281S
292M
301S
311S
322M
331S
341S
351S
363L
371S
382M
391S
402M
411S
421S
431S
441S
451S
461S
471S
481S
492M
501S
511S
522M
531S
542M
552M
561S
571S
581S
591S
601S
611S
621S
631S
642M
651S
661S
671S
683L
691S
701S
711S
721S
731S
741S
751S
761S
771S
781S
791S
801S

Random selection lab tree map numbered

image text in transcribed
Tree diameters mapped from the park. Diameters of the trees are representative of the relative size (large, medium, small). Trees are numbered 1-80

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