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The JIBAR futures contract trading on SAFE closely resembles the EURIBOR contract trading in European markets ( and the now defunct Eurodollar contract ) ,

The JIBAR futures contract trading on SAFE closely resembles the EURIBOR contract trading in European markets (and the now defunct Eurodollar contract), except that the underlying asset is 3-month JIBAR (i.e. ZAR rates) and not 3-month EURIBOR (i.e. EUR rates). The following reflects the actual JIBAR futures contract details as traded on SAFEX:
Contract base (i.e. underlying asset): 3-month JIBAR rate
Contract notional amount: ZAR 100000 face value.
Quotation style: The 3-month JIBAR futures are quoted in the same way as the underlying JIBAR rate, namely on a yield basis. The price is determined from the yield using the formula: 100- yield.
In this module, JIBAR futures can be quoted as follows:
a) "price" or "IMM index" format (i.e. index of 100- yield, where "yield" is a nominal annual rate [i.e. NACQ]); or
b) "yield" format (i.e. quoting the futures as a Nominal Annual Rate (NACQ)).
The JIBAR futures in Table 3.2. are quoted on a "price" basis (i.e. IMM index).
Contract months: March, June, September, December and "serial contracts" (i.e. four near-term contracts to ensure six consecutive near months is listed. In this module, not all contracts might be provided.
360 day-count is used.
Basis point value: ZAR 2.50 per basis point (in NACQ format) per contract (i.e.
R100000 x 0.0001\times (90/360))
Settlement: Cash
Suppose the following spot interest rates (Table 1) and JIBAR futures contracts (Lable 2) are quoted on 1 December 2023(i.e.14 days before the December 2023 contract expires).
Table 1: JIBAR Spot rates (NAC) on 1 December 2023:
JIBAR 14-day rate:
7.9000%
JIBAR 44-day rate:7.9200%
JIBAR 58-day rate:7.9300%
JIBAR 74-day rate:7.9500%
JIBAR 90-dav rate:
7.9700%
JIBAR 104-day rate:7.9900%
JIBAR 134-day rate:8.0200%
JIBAR 164-day rate:8.1200%
JIBAR 180-day rate:8.1500%
JIBAR 194-day rate:8.1700%
JIBAR 224-day rate:8.2200%
JIBAR 254-day rate:8.2300%
JIBAR 270-day rate:8.2400%
Table 2: JIBAR Futures contract prices on 1 December 2023:
December 152023(expiration in 14 days):
92.0205
January 152024(expiration in 44 days):
92.0085
February 152024(expiration in 74 days):91.4970
March 152024(expiration in 104 days):91.8110
April 152024(expiration in 134 days):
91.7291
Note: Initial Margin required per JIBAR contract = R220
1.1 Calculate the yields (i.e. NACQ) for the Dec 2023 and April 2024 futures contracts. (4)
1.2 Calculate the implicit price (per R100000 face value that is currently quoted for the February 2024 JIBAR futures contract.
(2)
1.3 As an arbitrage specialist, you suspect that the February 2024 JIBAR futures contract in Table 2 might be incorrectly priced. Prove that the February 2024 contract is mispriced.
(5)
1.4 Explain, in detail, what arbitrage transactions you will undertake to exploit the mispricing. Assume the February 2024 JIBAR futures contract is priced at and index level of 91.100 on expiration date (15 Feb 2024). Note: use 360 day-count throughout and ignore margin requirement calculations for this question.
(9)

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