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The Kiwi Property Group plans to issue 5-year green bonds. It believes that the bonds will have a BB rating. Assuming that AAA bonds with
The Kiwi Property Group plans to issue 5-year green bonds. It believes that the bonds will have a BB rating. Assuming that AAA bonds with the same maturity have a 2.55% yield and the market risk premium is 4%, use the data in Tables 1 and 2 below:
Table 1: Annual Default Rates by Debt Rating
Rating: | AAA | AA | A | BBB | BB | B | CCC | CC-C |
Default Rate: | ||||||||
Average | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
In Recessions | 0.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 48.0% | 79.0% |
Table 2: Average Debt Betas by Rating and Maturity
By Rating | A and above | BBB | BB | B | CCC |
Avg. Beta | < 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.31 |
By Maturity | (BBB and above) | 1 - 5 Year | 5 -10 Year | 10 -15 Year | > 15 Year |
Avg. Beta | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.14 |
Required:
- Estimate the yield the Kiwi Property Group will have to pay, assuming an expected 40% loss rate in the event of default during average economic
- Estimate the yield the Kiwi Property Group would have to pay if it were a great recession, assuming the expected loss rate is 70% at that time, and the market risk premium and the beta of debt both increase by 25%; that is, they equal 1.25 times their value in recessions.
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