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The Kiwi Property Group plans to issue 5-year green bonds. It believes that the bonds will have a BB rating. Assuming that AAA bonds with

The Kiwi Property Group plans to issue 5-year green bonds. It believes that the bonds will have a BB rating. Assuming that AAA bonds with the same maturity have a 2.55% yield and the market risk premium is 4%, use the data in Tables 1 and 2 below:

Table 1: Annual Default Rates by Debt Rating

Rating: AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC CC-C
Default Rate:
Average 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 2.2% 5.5% 12.2% 14.1%
In Recessions 0.0% 1.0% 3.0% 3.0% 8.0% 16.0% 48.0% 79.0%

Table 2: Average Debt Betas by Rating and Maturity

By Rating A and above BBB BB B CCC
Avg. Beta < 0.05 0.10 0.17 0.26 0.31
By Maturity (BBB and above) 1 - 5 Year 5 -10 Year 10 -15 Year > 15 Year
Avg. Beta 0.01 0.06 0.07 0.14

Required:

  1. Estimate the yield the Kiwi Property Group will have to pay, assuming an expected 40% loss rate in the event of default during average economic
    1. Estimate the yield the Kiwi Property Group would have to pay if it were a great recession, assuming the expected loss rate is 70% at that time, and the market risk premium and the beta of debt both increase by 25%; that is, they equal 1.25 times their value in recessions.

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