Question
The last page of the Mercury Athletic case mentions at least two possible sources of value creation not captured in Liedtkes base case scenario: a
The last page of the Mercury Athletic case mentions at least two possible sources of value creation not captured in Liedtkes base case scenario: a significant reduction in Mercurys days sales in inventory (DSI) and a possible combination of Mercurys and AGIs women casual lines. A) Using Liedtkes base case projections and the comparables market information, estimate the value of Mercury using a discounted cash flow approach without considering any possible synergy effect. Currently Mercury has no debt in its capital structure.
Base Case Assumptions | |
Marginal Tax Rate | 40.0% |
Debt Beta | 0.0 |
Risk Free Rate | 4.93% |
Market Return | 9.93% |
Debt/Value ratio | 20% |
Cost of Debt | 6.00% |
|
5-Year Projections by John Liedtke | ||||||
Mercury's Financial Results | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 |
Consolidated Revenue | $479,329 | $489,028 | $532,137 | $570,319 | $597,717 | |
Divisional Operating Expenses | 423,837 | 427,333 | 465,110 | 498,535 | 522,522 | |
Corporate Overhead | 8,487 | 8,659 | 9,422 | 10,098 | 10,583 | |
Depreciation | 9,587 | 9,781 | 10,643 | 11,406 | 11,954 | |
Change in Working Capital | $4,569 | $2,648 | $9,805 | $8,687 | $6,234 | |
Capital Expenditures | 11,984 | 12,226 | 13,303 | 14,258 | 14,943 | |
Change in Other Assets | - | - | - | - | - | |
Change in Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Assumption: The FCF will grow at the constant growth rate of 5% after 2011. |
B. Based on your answer in (a), suppose Mercury is going to change its capital structure with a long-term debt of $250,000 in 2006. How does this recapitalization affect the value of Mercury?
C. Describe how you would analyze possible synergies or other sources of value not reflected in Liedtkes base case assumptions.
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