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The last page of the Mercury Athletic case mentions at least two possible sources of value creation not captured in Liedtkes base case scenario: a

The last page of the Mercury Athletic case mentions at least two possible sources of value creation not captured in Liedtkes base case scenario: a significant reduction in Mercurys days sales in inventory (DSI) and a possible combination of Mercurys and AGIs women casual lines. A) Using Liedtkes base case projections and the comparables market information, estimate the value of Mercury using a discounted cash flow approach without considering any possible synergy effect. Currently Mercury has no debt in its capital structure.

Base Case Assumptions

Marginal Tax Rate

40.0%

Debt Beta

0.0

Risk Free Rate

4.93%

Market Return

9.93%

Debt/Value ratio

20%

Cost of Debt

6.00%

Comparables

MV Equity

Net Debt

Equity Beta

D&B Shoe

$ 420,098

$ 125,422

2.68

Marina Wilderness

1,205,795

(91,559)

1.94

General Shoe Corp

533,463

171,835

1.92

Kinsley Coulter

165560

82236

1.12

Victory Athletic

35303250

7653207

0.97

Surfside Footwear

570684

195540

2.13

Alpine Company

1,056,033

300,550

1.27

Heartland Outdoor

1454875

-97018

1.01

Templeton Athletic

397709

169579

0.98

5-Year Projections by John Liedtke

Mercury's Financial Results

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Consolidated Revenue

$479,329

$489,028

$532,137

$570,319

$597,717

Divisional Operating Expenses

423,837

427,333

465,110

498,535

522,522

Corporate Overhead

8,487

8,659

9,422

10,098

10,583

Depreciation

9,587

9,781

10,643

11,406

11,954

Change in Working Capital

$4,569

$2,648

$9,805

$8,687

$6,234

Capital Expenditures

11,984

12,226

13,303

14,258

14,943

Change in Other Assets

-

-

-

-

-

Change in Other Liabilities

0

0

0

0

0

Assumption: The FCF will grow at the constant growth rate of 5% after 2011.

B. Based on your answer in (a), suppose Mercury is going to change its capital structure with a long-term debt of $250,000 in 2006. How does this recapitalization affect the value of Mercury?

C. Describe how you would analyze possible synergies or other sources of value not reflected in Liedtkes base case assumptions.

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