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The management of a wall paint manufacturing company is faced with the problem of choosing one of three products to add to its existing
The management of a wall paint manufacturing company is faced with the problem of choosing one of three products to add to its existing product line. The potential demand for each product may turn out to be good, moderate or poor with probabilities estimated as 0.75, 0.15 and 0.10 respectively. The estimated profit or loss under the three states of demand with respect to each product is outlined below: Product Silk Matt Gloss Good 70,000 100,000 120,000 Type of demand Moderate 55,000 40,000 50,000 Poor - 10,000 6,000 - 40,000 Required: (i) (iii) Advise the management on the choice of product based on the expected monetary valve (EMV) criterion. (4 marks) Compute the expected opportunity loss for each decision. Which decision would you recommend based on the expected opportunity loss? Compute the expected value of perfect information. (4 marks) (4 marks) (Total: 20 marks)
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