Question
The most likely outcomes for a particular project are estimated as follows: Unit price: $ 40 Variable cost: $ 20 Fixed cost: $ 350,000 Expected
The most likely outcomes for a particular project are estimated as follows:
Unit price: | $ | 40 | |
Variable cost: | $ | 20 | |
Fixed cost: | $ | 350,000 | |
Expected sales: | 34,000 | units per year | |
However, you recognize that some of these estimates are subject to error. Suppose that each variable may turn out to be either 10% higher or 10% lower than the initial estimate. The project will last for 10 years and requires an initial investment of $1.2 million, which will be depreciated straight-line over the project life to a final value of zero. The firms tax rate is 21% and the required rate of return is 10%.
a. What is project NPV in the best-case scenario, that is, assuming all variables take on the best possible value?
b. What is project NPV in the worst-case scenario?
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