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The New York (NY) Yankees are playing the Boston Red Sox in the American League Championship series. Boston is winning 2 games to 1. The
The New York (NY) Yankees are playing the Boston Red Sox in the American League Championship series. Boston is winning 2 games to 1. The first team to win 3 games goes to the World Series. In the remaining 2 games, the rst will be played in NY and the 2"\" game is played in Boston. Silver's website gives Boston a 753% chance to go to the World Series. Based on these odds, a. What is the probability Boston will win the rst game? b. What is the probability Boston will win the 2nd game? c. Show that your solutions are consistent with Boston being favored by 78% to reach the World Series. Your 2 answers [a, b} are to be different. In your calculations, take into account how both teams perform on the road and at home. How did you factor these in? You do not have to account for stress, desperation, play home-road splits, etc. 2. Quick Shots 10 pts What are the 3 parts of habit? How do you fix it? 2 pts When things go well, what do we credit? 1 pt When things go had, what do we attribute this to? 1 pt In order to be successful, what do people need? Why? 2 pts Increasing a wager on an outcome. does 2 things. What are they? 2 pts Why is dissent critical? 2 pts
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