The number of cases of merlot wine sold by the Connor Owen winery in an eight-year period is as follows: Using an exponential smoothing model with an alpha value of 0.30 , estimate the smoothed value calculated as of the end of 2012 . Use the averoge demand for 2005 through 2007 as your initial forecast for 2008 , and then smooth the forecast forward to 2012 . (Round your intermediate calculations and final answer to the nearest whole number.)