The president wants to estimate his chances at winning the next election. Currently, polls indicate he has 48 percent of the popular vote, based on polling 1,000 registered voters. Approximately what is the probability that he will get 50 percent or more of the popular vote, based on this poll? (Forget about electoral colleges and all that jazz.)

Select one:

a. 10 percent

b. 2 percent

c. 20 percent

d. 90 percent

e. Almost no chance (0 percent)