The probability of flipping tails in my little experiment was 35%. I flipped tails 7 times and heads 13 times. The theoretical probability of obtaining tails is 50% because if you flip the coin there is 1 favorable outcome (tails) compared to the total outcomes of 2 (heads or tails.) 1/2 = .50 = 50% It seems that experimental probabilities would be less reliable than the theoretical probabilities; however, the higher number of "experiments" to test the probability would give a more reliable understanding of outcomes. I think that the terms probability, chance, likelihood and risk do leave some room for uncertainty. I know that a lot of people like math because there's always a right answer; but when it comes to statistics, I believe that it's okay to have some unknown variables and uncertainties. I mean, that's what's running these experiments, assessing data, and getting into statistics is all about. I don't think it's unreasonable to consider uncertainty a small factor in the subject of numbers. I do believe that probability is based off of specific, tangible, obvious data; whereas chance is more open ended without having obvious data that could create a strong educated answer or guess. I agree with Christians in that nothing happens by chance. I choose to believe that there is a reason for everything that happens whether we see it or not. I believe God works through us and to us in direct and indirect ways and some of those ways could be labelled as "chance occurrences." I don't think that the concepts of probability and chance are contradictory to a Christian mindset because I believe there is a line between the chance that happens in life versus the chance that happens in mathematics. One could say that God could take a part in mathematical chances for whatever motives they can think of; however, I don't believe that grasping chances in mathematics as true random outcomes based without obvious data or information would be contradictory to Christian beliefs.

Assignment: Suggestions for further resources, questions of clarification, or providing context and insight. If you agree, explain why, and then thoughtfully further the conversation.