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The safety record of an industrial plant is measured in terms of M, total staffing hours worked without a serious accident. Past experience indicates that

The safety record of an industrial plant is measured in terms of M, total staffing hours worked without a serious accident. Past experience indicates that M has a mean of 2 million with a standard deviation 0.1 million. A serious accident has just occurred. Would it be unusual for the next serious accident to occur with in the next 1.6 million staffing hours ?

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