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The stock has a price of $90 and a volatility of 30% per annum. European options on the stock have a strike price of $86

The stock has a price of $90 and a volatility of 30% per annum.

European options on the stock have a strike price of $86 and a time to maturity of 270 days.

The risk-free interest rate is 4% per annum on a continuously compounded basis.

The stock pays dividends at a continuously compounded rate of 2.0%.

What is the risk-neutral probability using Black-Scholes?

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