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The United States Department of Agriculture's Child and Adult Care Food Program (CACFP) plays a vital role in improving the quality of day care and

The United States Department of Agriculture's Child and Adult Care Food Program (CACFP) plays a vital role in improving the quality of day care and making it more affordable for many low-income families. Each day 2.9 million children receive nutritious meals and snacks through CACFP. The program also provides meals and snacks to 86,000 adults who receive care in nonresidential adult day care centers. We will use data from the Child Care Center program of CACFP. Monthly data from March 2004 through September 2007 is provided below. We would like to develop a 12-month forecast of the meals to be served. We started by plotting the data and examining it for the patterns of trend and seasonality.

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