there are two beaches in the world with red pearls on them. Beach 1 “Poor” has approximately one red pearl per square 100 meters, Beach 2 “rich” has approximately 5 red pearls per square 100 meters. You are ship wrecked, and you wake up on a beach. Given the currents and where you wrecked, you have probability 1/3 of being on “rich” and 2/3 of being on “poor”. You such a 10 meter by 10 meter square around you and find 3 pearls What do you estimate your probability of being on rich now?