Question
This document will help you complete your simulation exercise. Please note that this is a TEAM assignment. Please check under the SIMULATION module to find
This document will help you complete your simulation exercise. Please note that this is a TEAM assignment. Please check under the SIMULATION module to find the spreadsheet that contains your team assignments. Before beginning the assignment, you should read all the assigned pages from the simulation chapter in the book (chapter 12). In particular, you should review the Inventory Simulation discussion. The simulation that you will be performing for this assignment is a slight variant of the Inventory Simulation discussed in the book. (you will consider random production cost/unit in your assignment). After reading the book, carefully review the three simulation videos posted under the Simulation module/folder. First review the NORMAL distribution simulation video, then the VLOOKUP function video (this is a video that helps you simulate a DISCRETE probability distribution) and finally the Inventory Simulation video. For your simulation assignment, you are going to mimic the process described in the three videos, but with different parameters. 1. First review the NORMAL distribution simulation video. Once you have understood this material, please open the Excel TEMPLATE provided and draw 20 demand values from the Normal distribution with mean = 110 and standard deviation = 20. Copy and paste (remember to paste values) the twenty demand numbers into the appropriate column in the master Inventory Simulation worksheet. 2. Second review the VLOOKUP video. Once you have understood this video, simulate 20 months production cost/unit and paste these 20 values in the master worksheet. Please note that in the Template, you will have to COMPLETE the lookup table by filling in appropriate ranges for the LOWER limit and UPPER limit before you can execute the VLOOKUP simulation (if you are not sure how to complete the lookup table, please schedule a brief conference with the instructor to obtain clarification). Remember to complete the VLOOKUP table before performing the simulation. 3. Finally, move to the master Inventory Simulation spreadsheet and complete the simulation with these parameters: selling price/unit = $130 and inventory cost for unsold inventory = $50/unit. The goal of the simulation exercise is to find the BEST value for the order up to quantity Q in cell $G$3 of the master sheet. After filling in the entire spreadsheet (exactly in the manner of the Inventory simulation worksheet and as illustrated in the Excel ILLUSTRATION spreadsheet posted), you are going to EXPERIMENT with various values for Q and make a recommendation for the BEST value of Q. As you change Q in $G$3, the PROFIT, the INVENTORY cost and total PRODUCTION cost should change. Make a separate record of these costs (perhaps 2 graph these costs for various values of Q) and make a recommendation for the final BEST value of Q, which maximizes PROFIT. Notes on computing units produced each month: In the first month you will always produce (or order up to) a quantity Q (i.e., assume that you have no inventory coming into the 20 month period). So cell E8 should always be equal to $G$3. In months 2,20, the amount you order (or equivalently produce) will be = {Q Unsold inventory from the PREVIOUS month}. Review the ILLUSTRATION to make sure you understand how units produced each month is computed. Once you compute units produced, the production cost = (units produced)*(random production cost/unit). The random production cost/unit is what is simulated using the VLOOKUP function.
EXCEL SHEET HE HAS GIVEN US __
Probability
LOWER_LIMIT
UPPER_LIMIT
Production
Cost/Unit
0.3
0
0.3
42
42
0.2
0.3
0.5
45
0.2
0.5
0.7
49
0.15
0.7
0.85
55
0.15
0.85
1
60
Month
Random
Number
Unit
cost
1
0.229259008
42
2
0.964035358
60
3
0.957761446
60
4
0.153961281
42
5
0.064795196
42
6
0.810524553
55
7
0.15632173
42
8
0.110170957
42
9
0.493723361
45
10
0.543055377
49
11
0.271240947
42
12
0.664160286
49
13
0.560775195
49
14
0.469406057
45
15
0.052825681
42
16
0.708002469
55
17
0.563881404
49
18
0.785411008
55
19
0.635432234
49
20
0.655950005
49
Mean
for
Normal
Distribution
125
Standard
Deviation
for
Normal
30
Month
Random
Number
Demand
Integer
Demand
1
0.896697014
162.8886
162
2
0.104361983
87.28754
87
3
0.206948007
100.4883
100
4
0.339949471
112.622
112
5
0.322081205
111.1434
111
6
0.844330509
155.3725
155
7
0.07980738
82.80895
82
8
0.524897658
126.8735
126
9
0.145606185
93.33603
93
10
0.041869511
73.11825
73
11
0.183382569
97.92352
97
12
0.489325112
124.1972
124
13
0.416939803
118.7081
118
14
0.087675062
84.34365
84
15
0.494868452
124.6141
124
16
0.202807926
100.051
100
17
0.661685731
137.512
137
18
0.018655983
62.52998
62
19
0.441823281
120.6096
120
20
0.409719426
118.152
118
SIMULATING
AN
INVENTORY
POLICY
INVENTORY
ORDER
UPTO
LEVEL
Q
125
Q
Inventory
at
start
of
Month
1
SELLING
PRICE/UNIT
120
INVENTORY
COST
FOR
UNSOLD
INVENTORY
25
MONTH
#
Simulated
Demand
Units
Sold
=
Min(D,
Q)
UNSOLD
Inventory
@
Month
end
Amount
produced
this
month
Simulated
cost/unit
Total
production
cost
Inventory
cost
Total
Revenue
PROFIT
ALL
Demand
Met?
(1
=
Yes,
0
=
No)
1
162
125
0
125
42
5250
0
15000
9750
0
2
87
87
38
125
60
7500
950
10440
1990
1
3
100
100
25
87
60
5220
625
12000
6155
1
4
112
112
13
100
42
4200
325
13440
8915
1
5
111
111
14
112
42
4704
350
13320
8266
1
6
155
125
0
111
55
6105
0
15000
8895
0
7
82
82
43
125
42
5250
1075
9840
3515
1
8
126
125
0
82
42
3444
0
15000
11556
0
9
93
93
32
125
45
5625
800
11160
4735
1
10
73
73
52
93
49
4557
1300
8760
2903
1
11
97
97
28
73
42
3066
700
11640
7874
1
12
124
124
1
97
49
4753
25
14880
10102
1
13
118
118
7
124
49
6076
175
14160
7909
1
14
84
84
41
118
45
5310
1025
10080
3745
1
15
124
124
1
84
42
3528
25
14880
11327
1
16
100
100
25
124
55
6820
625
12000
4555
1
17
137
125
0
100
49
4900
0
15000
10100
0
18
62
62
63
125
55
6875
1575
7440
-1010
1
19
120
120
5
62
49
3038
125
14400
11237
1
20
118
118
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