Question
This file contains the quarterly revenues of an online retailer from the first quarter of 2001 to the second quarter or 2017. For each observation,
This file contains the quarterly revenues of an online retailer from the first quarter of 2001 to the second quarter or 2017. For each observation, the Fiscal Year and Fiscal Quarter are recorded, as well as a variable counting quarters from the first to the last observation in the data. There is also a tab containing a scatter plot of the data with Quarter on the horizontal axis and Quarterly Revenue on the vertical axis.
Date | Fiscal Year | Fiscal Quarter | Quarter | Quarterly Revenue |
03/31/2001 | 2001 | 1 | 1 | 700.356 |
06/30/2001 | 2001 | 2 | 2 | 667.625 |
09/30/2001 | 2001 | 3 | 3 | 639.281 |
12/31/2001 | 2001 | 4 | 4 | 1,115.171 |
03/31/2002 | 2002 | 1 | 5 | 847.422 |
06/30/2002 | 2002 | 2 | 6 | 805.605 |
09/30/2002 | 2002 | 3 | 7 | 851.299 |
12/31/2002 | 2002 | 4 | 8 | 1,428.610 |
03/31/2003 | 2003 | 1 | 9 | 1,083.559 |
06/30/2003 | 2003 | 2 | 10 | 1,099.912 |
09/30/2003 | 2003 | 3 | 11 | 1,134.456 |
12/31/2003 | 2003 | 4 | 12 | 1,945.772 |
03/31/2004 | 2004 | 1 | 13 | 1,530.349 |
06/30/2004 | 2004 | 2 | 14 | 1,387.341 |
09/30/2004 | 2004 | 3 | 15 | 1,462.475 |
12/31/2004 | 2004 | 4 | 16 | 2,540.959 |
03/31/2005 | 2005 | 1 | 17 | 1,902.000 |
06/30/2005 | 2005 | 2 | 18 | 1,753.000 |
09/30/2005 | 2005 | 3 | 19 | 1,858.000 |
12/31/2005 | 2005 | 4 | 20 | 2,977.000 |
03/31/2006 | 2006 | 1 | 21 | 2,279.000 |
06/30/2006 | 2006 | 2 | 22 | 2,139.000 |
09/30/2006 | 2006 | 3 | 23 | 2,307.000 |
12/31/2006 | 2006 | 4 | 24 | 3,986.000 |
03/31/2007 | 2007 | 1 | 25 | 3,015.000 |
06/30/2007 | 2007 | 2 | 26 | 2,886.000 |
09/30/2007 | 2007 | 3 | 27 | 3,262.000 |
12/31/2007 | 2007 | 4 | 28 | 5,672.000 |
03/31/2008 | 2008 | 1 | 29 | 4,135.000 |
06/30/2008 | 2008 | 2 | 30 | 4,063.000 |
09/30/2008 | 2008 | 3 | 31 | 4,265.000 |
12/31/2008 | 2008 | 4 | 32 | 6,703.000 |
03/31/2009 | 2009 | 1 | 33 | 4,889.000 |
06/30/2009 | 2009 | 2 | 34 | 4,652.000 |
09/30/2009 | 2009 | 3 | 35 | 5,448.000 |
12/31/2009 | 2009 | 4 | 36 | 9,520.000 |
03/31/2010 | 2010 | 1 | 37 | 7,131.000 |
06/30/2010 | 2010 | 2 | 38 | 6,566.000 |
09/30/2010 | 2010 | 3 | 39 | 7,560.000 |
12/31/2010 | 2010 | 4 | 40 | 12,947.000 |
03/31/2011 | 2011 | 1 | 41 | 9,857.000 |
06/30/2011 | 2011 | 2 | 42 | 9,913.000 |
09/30/2011 | 2011 | 3 | 43 | 10,876.000 |
12/31/2011 | 2011 | 4 | 44 | 17,431.000 |
03/31/2012 | 2012 | 1 | 45 | 13,185.000 |
06/30/2012 | 2012 | 2 | 46 | 12,834.000 |
09/30/2012 | 2012 | 3 | 47 | 13,806.000 |
12/31/2012 | 2012 | 4 | 48 | 21,268.000 |
03/31/2013 | 2013 | 1 | 49 | 16,070.000 |
06/30/2013 | 2013 | 2 | 50 | 15,704.000 |
09/30/2013 | 2013 | 3 | 51 | 17,091.000 |
12/31/2013 | 2013 | 4 | 52 | 25,587.000 |
03/31/2014 | 2014 | 1 | 53 | 19,741.000 |
06/30/2014 | 2014 | 2 | 54 | 19,340.000 |
09/30/2014 | 2014 | 3 | 55 | 20,578.000 |
12/31/2014 | 2014 | 4 | 56 | 29,329.000 |
03/31/2015 | 2015 | 1 | 57 | 22,717.000 |
06/30/2015 | 2015 | 2 | 58 | 23,184.000 |
09/30/2015 | 2015 | 3 | 59 | 25,358.000 |
12/31/2015 | 2015 | 4 | 60 | 35,747.000 |
03/31/2016 | 2016 | 1 | 61 | 29,128.000 |
06/30/2016 | 2016 | 2 | 62 | 30,404.000 |
9/30/2016 | 2016 | 3 | 63 | 32,714.000 |
12/31/2016 | 2016 | 4 | 64 | 43,741.000 |
3/31/2017 | 2017 | 1 | 65 | 35,714.000 |
6/30/2017 | 2017 | 2 | 66 | 37,955.000 |
Question 1:Which of the following observations about a scatter plot of the data (see the "Scatter QR-Quarter" tab) is false?
A.QR increases with Quarter at an increasing rate
B.QR increases with Quarter at a constant rate C.The Quarterly Revenue in the fourth quarter of every year is noticeably larger than the Quarterly revenue of the previous three quarters
Question 2: Creating a variable called LnQR that is equal to the natural log of Quarterly Revenue. Run a regression where LnQR is the dependent variable and Quarter is the independent variable, and use it to forecast Quarterly Revenue in the third quarter of 2017. Which of the following is a true statement about this regression?
A.If Quarter changes by one unit quarterly revenue change by 0.065 units
B.The forecasted value of Quarterly Revenue for the third quarter of 2017 is 10.807
C.The standard error of the forecasted value of Quarterly Revenue for the third quarter of 2017 is 0.196
D.A 95% confidence interval for the forecasted value of Quarterly Revenue for the third quarter of 2017 is [33,365.179 , 73,011.828]
Question 3:Creating a variable called Lag4QR that is equal to the value of Quarterly Revenue 4 periods ago. Run a regression where QR is the dependent variable and Lag4QR is the independent variable, and use it to forecast Quarterly Revenue in the third quarter of 2017. In comparing the forecast from this model to the one you obtained in the previous question, which of the following statements is correct.
A.The model from the previous question is better for forecasting
B.The model from this question is better for forecasting
C.We cannot decide which model is better for forecasting
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