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This question illustrates an accounting application of regression analysis. A company that manufactures xyz brand of laundry detergent wishes to estimate its fixed and variable

This question illustrates an accounting application of regression analysis. A company that manufactures xyz brand of laundry detergent wishes to estimate its fixed and variable production cost. The firm has collected cost data for the last 52 weeks (REFERENCE TABLE DATA BELOW).

Some background information to solve this problem

When you set up the hypothesis, it would be a 'single tail' hypothesis. In class we saw how to solve a two-tail hypothesis test using confidence intervals. That is, to solve for a two-tail hypothesis test the steps are as follows...

  1. Access a (1-) confidence interval
  2. If the Null hypothesis has any overlap with the confidence interval, then you do not reject the Null hypothesis

Similarly, to solve for a single-tail hypothesis the steps are as follows...

  1. Access a (1-2) confidence interval.
  2. If the Null hypothesis has any overlap with the confidence interval, then you do not reject the Null hypothesis
  3. For example, if the Null hypothesis is H0: 100.5 and we wish to do this hypothesis test, we will access a (1-2) or 90% confidence interval. Let us say the interval is [-1.23, -0.055],note that the Null hypothesis does have an overlap with the interval because 100.5 has an overlap with [-1.23,-0.055], so we will not rejectthe Null hypothesis.

(Hint: Remember, you will invest if you can convince yourself that the marginal of production at this company is less than $1.55 per unit, it does not say less than equal to $1.55. Also remember the tip that a Null hypothesis cannot have a "<", ">" or "" signs)

You are to perform the following tasks:

(a)Estimate the regression equation for the total cost as a function of the number of cases produced. Copy and paste the regression output below.

(b)What is your estimate of fixed cost?

(Hint: The 'fixed' cost can be thought of as the cost with NO cases produced. Take a look at the cost (y) as specified by your regression equation when x=0.)

(c) What is the marginal cost of producing an additional unit?

(Hint: The marginal cost is the incremental cost of producing each additional unit; how much higher are costs as you move from x to x+1?)

(d)How well does the equation fit the data

(Hint: what is the R2 value and what is its interpretation)?

(e)Estimate the total cost when the weekly production is 150,000 cases (Hint: Using your regression equation, plug "150,000" in for the number of cases, and calculate the predicted cost.)

(f) Test whether the slope coefficient (the coefficient on No. of cases produced) of your regression equation is equal to 0 at the 5% significance level (i.e.a = 5%). Put another way, here you will test whether there is any association between cost and production volume at the 5% significance level (a = 5%). (Please explicitly state your hypotheses, your decision rule, and conclusion).

(g)As an investor you are evaluating investing in this company. However, from your prior experience you are concerned about the marginal cost of production at this company. You will only invest if you can convince yourself that the marginal cost of production at this company is less than $1.55 per unit. You see the regression results and note that the marginal cost of production is $1.48 per unit. This gives you some satisfaction, however you understand that these results are but from a sample of data. You want a more rigorous analysis before you invest. Please set up and test a hypothesis to aid your decision. (Please state your hypotheses, your decision rule, and conclusion).

REFERENCE TABLE DATA BELOW:

Week No_of_Cases_Produced Total_Cost_$
1 191813 352094.2
2 144116 280548.3
3 172224 322710.8
4 178648 344825.2
5 149703 288928.8
6 175373 327434.9
7 154949 295448.7
8 125708 254436.7
9 116277 238790.9
10 147259 285263
11 169908 305736.3
12 141693 251914.7
13 169487 307164.3
14 191056 336083.6
15 144509 292210.8
16 159684 312092.1
17 176116 318042.6
18 173198 300548.1
19 135210 246413.6
20 159826 279702.2
21 146992 296275.8
22 132130 252890.5
23 154330 274524.4
24 169702 328407.2
25 191342 339019
26 127862 248082.4
27 122440 254198.8
28 189226 329982.7
29 174855 333890
30 117019 247776.8
31 191577 363973.3
32 142659 264380.6
33 144896 255948
34 160732 307694
35 168586 307870.4
36 147794 287545.2
37 124230 230295.8
38 166431 294668.8
39 135975 267929.8
40 135244 249920.1
41 155834 298862.9
42 135183 241710.2
43 141125 279369
44 178705 333371.2
45 156876 290916.3
46 181266 313735.8
47 120948 234973.2
48 172823 306052.7
49 145382 294423.7
50 117995 234295.6
51 126938 250492.4
52 177835 313726

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