Question
To not be considering Amazon and others would bein my viewdelusional, Art Peck, CEO ofGapInc.,remarkedduringaconversationwithinvestors inMay2016.Facedwithincreasedcompetitionand achangingdemographic amid a shifting shoppinglandscape,PeckneededtoreverseGapInc.'scurrent trajectoryandconsideralternativestoimprovesales andmaintain itsn um
"To not be considering Amazon and others would bein my viewdelusional," Art Peck, CEO ofGapInc.,remarkedduringaconversationwithinvestors inMay2016.Facedwithincreasedcompetitionand achangingdemographic amid a shifting shoppinglandscape,PeckneededtoreverseGapInc.'scurrent trajectoryandconsideralternativestoimprovesales andmaintain itsnumber two overall ranking. 'But aftertwofullyearsintoPeck'sturnaroundstrategy. GapInc. continued todecline and showed noreal signsthatitwasagainresonatingwithconsumers.
ComplicatingPeck'sturnaroundstrategywasthe increase inshopping mall vacancies, aswell astheincreasedcompetition inretail.While higher-end malls continuedtoseeimprovements infoottrarric in2016,consumers decreased shopping at lower-endmalls,whereemptystorefrontswerebecomingcom- mon.Further,asshoppersbecamecomfortablewith onlineshopping,largerpercentages of retail sales were occurring through e-commerce. Yet, companiessuchastheIndetixGroup,knownforitsZarabrand, continually increased salesand expanded locations regardlessoftheseenvironmentalfactors.Peckpon- dered howGap could defend against unfavorable externalfactorsandcraftastrategywell-matchedto theretailenvironmentgoingintothelate-2010s.
CompanyHistoryandPerformance
Gap Inc.operated stores in70different countries in2016andwaspositionedascasualattire,withan
emphasisonbluejeansandkhakis.Offeringapparel forthewholefamily,brandsalsoincludedGapKids, babyGap, andGapMaternity. Banana Republic, incontrast, offered styles frombusiness casual tofor- mal,whereattirecouldbebothworkandeveryday. The Old Navy brand waspositioned tocompete atalower price pointin thecasual, everyday apparel category.
Thecompanywasfoundedin1969byDorisandDonFisher.ThecompanyfirstbegansellingLevi-branded jeans duetoDon's experience intryingtofind hisownpair that fit.Initially meant totargetayounger demographic,the name wasderivedfromthe phrase "generation gap."Gapstartedofferingitsown Gap-branded jeansin 1972.andwentpub-lic in1973. GapacquiredBanana Republicintheearly1980s,andlaunchedtheOldNavybrandinthe1990s.The companyacquired theAthletaathleticapparel brand andlaunched itsonlinefashionmar-ketplace Piperlime in 2008andacquiredboutiqueretail chain Intermix in 2013. ThecompanyclosedthePiperlimewebsiteandoneretaillocationin2013.
Gapbecameahouseholdnameinthe1990sthrough its clever advertising andmerchandising strategy thatmade it largely responsible formaking thejean+and- T-shirt style ubiquitous during that decade.Thecom-pany'sstrategyledtolargeandregularincreasesinnetsales,whichincreasedfrom$1.9billionk1990to
$11.6billionin1999.'Itsnetsalesbytheendofthedecadewerealmostdoublethe$6.6billionin1997.
Copyright O2017byJohnD. VarlaroandJohn E. Gamble. All rightsreserved.
2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | |
OperatingResults($in millions) | |||||
Netsales | $15,516 | $15,797 | $16,435 | $16,148 | $15,651 |
Grossmargin | 36.39 | 36.2% | 38.39 | 39.0% | 39.46 |
Operatingmargin | 7.79 | 9.66 | 12.7R | 13.39 | 12.4P |
Netincome | $ 676 | $ 920 | $1,262 | $1,280 | $1,135 |
Cashdividendspaid | $ 367 | $ 377 | $ 383 | $ 321 | $ 240 |
PerShare Data(numberofsharesinmillions) | |||||
Basicearningspershare | $1.69 | $2.24 | $2.90 | $.78 | $2.35 |
Dilutedearningspershare | $1.69 | $2.23 | $2.87 | $2.74 | $2.33 |
Weighted-averagenumberofsharesbasic | 399 | 411 | 435 | 461 | 482 |
Weighted-averagenumberofsharesdiluted | 400 | 413 | 440 | 467 | 488 |
Cashdividendsdeclaredandpaidpershare | $0.92 | $0.92 | $0.88 | $0.70 | $0.50 |
BalanceSheetInformation($inmillions)Merchandiseinventory | $1,830 | $1,873 | $1,889 | $1,928 | $1,758 |
Totalassets | $7,610 | $7,473 | $7,690 | $7,849 | $ 7,470 |
Working capital | $1,862 | $1,450 | $2,083 | $1,985 | $1,788 |
Totallong-termdebt,lesscurrentmaturities | $1,248 | $1,310 | $1,332 | $1,369 | $1,246 |
Stockholders'equity | $2,904 | $2,545 | $ 983 | $3,062 | $2,894 |
Other Data($andsquarefootageinmillions)Cashusedforpurchasesofpropertyandequipment | $ 524 | $ 726 | $ 714 | $ 670 | $ 659 |
Acquisitionofbusiness,netofcashacquired | $ 4 | $ | $ | $ | $ 129 |
Percentageincrease(decrease)incomparablesales | (2)% | (4)R | 6 | 2% | 54 |
Numberofcompany-operatedstorelocationsopenatyear-end | 3,200 | 3,275 | 3,280 | 3,164 | 3,095 |
Numberoffranchisestorelocationsopenatyear-end | 459 | 446 | 429 | 375 | 312 |
Numberofstore locationsopenatyear-end | 3,659 | 3,721 | 3,709 | 3,539 | 3,407 |
Squarefootageofcompany-operatedstorespaceatyear-end | 36.7 | 37.9 | 38.1 | 37.2 | 36.9 |
Percentageincrease(decrease) insquarefootageof | (3.2)6 | (0.5)% | 2.4% | 0.86 | (0.8)% |
company-operatedstorespaceatyear-end | |||||
Numberofemployeesatyear-end | 135,000 | 141,000 | 141,000 | 137,000 | 136,000 |
Source:GapInc.201510-K.
Thecompany'ssalesgrowth declineddramaticallyinthe 2000sasitsmerchandise becamestale. Thedeclinein salesgrowthhadbecome adeclinein totalsalesby2015see Exhibit1.ArtPeck replaced GapCEOGlenMurphyinFebruary2015andwaschargedwithreversingthecompany'slong-runninglackluster performance andrecent salesdecline.PeckhadjoinedGapin2005andhadheldvariousexecutivepositionswiththecompany wherehespearheadedthecom-pany'sfranchisinginitiative,executeditsoutletstorestrategy,andleditsdigitalandecommercedivision.
Comparablestore sales declined3 percentfor the company between 2015 and 2016. The great- estdeclineswerewithBananaRepublic,whichhadexperienced7 percent and10percentdeclinesfor2015and2016, respectively.Comparable store salesforGap storesdeclinedby2percentandOldNavycomparablestore salesincreasedlpercentbetween2015and2016.Drivingthedeclineincomparablestoresaleswasthedeclineinthecompany'ssalespersquarefoot,whichhadfallen from $361in2014to
$337 in2015andto$334 in2016.
Thesales declineatGapwasreflectedin every majorbrandexceptOldNavy,whichexperienceda 2percentincreaseinsalesin 2016.Salespergeo-graphic regioneither declinedorwere unchangedfrom 2015to 2016exceptCanadaandAsia,which grewby3.5percentand 1.5percent,respectively.Whencomparedto2011,net salesacross brandshad onlyincreasedfrom$14.5billionto$15.5billioninsix years.Exhibit 2showsGapInc.sales bybrandandregionfor 2014through2016.
Amidthedeclineinstoreperformance,leadershipatGap Inc.continuedclosures ofunderperform-ing storesin2016toimprove operatingcosts.The
closuresaffected BananaRepublic, GapstoresinNorthAmericaandEurope,andOldNavystoresinAsiaseeExhibit3.Thecompany'sbalancesheetsfor2015and2016arepresentedinExhibit4.
OverviewoftheFamilyClothingStorelndusry
Withestimatedrevenuesover$101.9 billionin2016,competitorswithinthisindustrycarriedclothinglinesandapparelformen,women,andchildren.Annualgrowthfortheindustryaveraged1.8percentbetween
2011and2017andisexpectedtogrowby1.6percentannually between2016 and2021toreach$110.4 billion.Keydriversofindustrygrowthincludedpercapitadisposableincomeanddemographictrends.Typicallysalesofclothingtowomenmadeupthemajorityof industrysales. Also,agedemographicswithgainfulemploymentanddisposableincome werethelargestpurchasersofclothingintheUnitedStates.ThepercentageofrevenueaccountedforbydemographicgroupispresentedinExhibit5.
BfIck-and-MortarRetailersand'Ecommerce&les
Thefirstquarterof2017sawalmost$106billionine-commercesalesintheUnitedStates,ascomparedto$92 billioninthefirst quarterof2016.Whiletotalretail saleshadincreased 5percentfrom thefirstquarter of2016,total ecommerce sales in theUnitedStates hadincreasedby 15percentfor thesameperiDd in 2016andaccounted foralmost9percentoftota1U.S.retailsalesduringthequarter.
Theshifttowardincreasingconsumerconfidenceinonline shoppingwasevidentinthesaleofclothingandclothing accessories.Between2010and2015,e-commercesalesofclothingandaccessoriesexpe-rienced185percentgrowth,whilettaditionalbrick-and-mortarretailchannelsalesgrewby111percent.Exhibit6compares theU.S.annual salesofcloth-ingandclothingaccessoriesbybrick-and-mortarande-commercechannelsfor2011through2015offam-ilyclothing industrywithinClothing andClothingAccessories.
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