Question
To prepare for this Assignment, use the Netflix and Amazon Data Spreadsheet, located in the file attached to generate a pro forma forecast and consider
To prepare for this Assignment, use the Netflix and Amazon Data Spreadsheet, located in the file attached to generate a pro forma forecast and consider what this indicates about the future for these two companies.
Provide the following:
A forecast of Netflix, Inc., and Amazon.com, Inc.s revenue, costs, and estimated cash flows into the next five years.
NEED HELP FILLING IN THE BLANK
Netflix (numbers in 1000's) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |||||||||||||||||||
Forecasted Revenue Growth | ______% | ______% | _______% | _______% | ______% | _______% | ||||||||||||||||||
(1) Sale Revenue | $______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
Operating Costs Margin | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ||||||||||||||||||
(2) Operating Costs | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
Operating Profit | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
(3) Taxes | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
After Tax Profit | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
Net Investment (% of Revenue) | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ||||||||||||||||||
(4) Net Investment | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
(5) Change in Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | ||||||||||||||||||
| Netflix (numbers in 1000s) |
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Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
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(1) Sale Revenue | $______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
(2) - Operating Costs | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
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(3) - Taxes | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
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(4) - Net Investment | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
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(5) - Change in Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
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(6) = Free Cash Flow | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
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Amazon(numbers in 1000's) |
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
| ||||||||||||||||||
Forecasted Revenue Growth | ______% | ______% | _______% | _______% | ______% | _______% |
| |||||||||||||||||
(1) Sale Revenue | $______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating Costs Margin | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% |
| |||||||||||||||||
(2) Operating Costs | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating Profit | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
(3) Taxes | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
After Tax Profit | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net Investment (% of Revenue) | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% | ______% |
| |||||||||||||||||
(4) Net Investment | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
(5) Change in Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ |
| |||||||||||||||||
Amazon (numbers in 1000s) | |||||||||||
Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | ||||||
(1) Sale Revenue | $______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
(2) - Operating Costs | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
(3) - Taxes | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
(4) - Net Investment | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
(5) - Change in Working Capital | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
(6) = Free Cash Flow | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | $_______ | |||||
The appropriate discount rate for Netflix, Inc., and Amazon.com, Inc.s forecasted cash flows.
NEED HELP FILLING IN THE BLANK
Ke = Rf + * ( Rm R f ) For Netflix
Ke = Rf + * ( Rm R f ) For Amazon
An appropriate risk-adjusted rate of return for use in evaluating an investment in Netflix, Inc., and Amazon.com, Inc.
NEED HELP FILLING IN THE BLANK:
Using CAPM, E(R) = Rf + Beta x (Rm - Rf) For Netflix = the appropriate risk- adjusted rate of return
Using CAPM, E(R) = Rf + Beta x (Rm - Rf) For Amazon = the appropriate risk- adjusted rate of return
A determination of the estimated fair market value of 100% of Netflix, Inc., and Amazon.com, Inc.s equity.
NEED HELP FILLING IN THE BLANK:
Terminal Value = [Final project year cash flow (1 + long- term cash flow growth rate )]/ (Discount rate long term cash flow growth rate)
Calculating Total Enterprise Value
We now have the following free cash flow projection for Netflix and Amazon:
Forecast Period | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | Terminal Value |
Free Cash Flow | $ | $ | $ | $ | $ | $316.9M |
To determine a total company value, or enterprise value (EV), we take the present value of the cash flows, divide each by the discount rate (___%) and then add the results:
EV of Netflix = $_____
EV of Amazon = $_____
Calculating the Fair Value of Equity
Fair Value = Enterprise Value Debt
Fair Value of Netflix = $___ - $____ = $____
Fair Value of Amazon = $___ - $____ = $____
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