7 Document1 Qu Search in Document Home Insert Design Layout References Mailings Review View Table Design Layout 2+ Share Calibri Light (H... 12 A- A A A E** T AaBbCcDdE: AaBbCcDdE AaBbCcDc AaBb CcDdEe AaBbCcDdEe AaBbccddee AaBbc AabbccDd Ee Paste Uabe Xx2 A Normal No Spacing Heading 1 Heading 2 Heading 3 Heading 4 Title Subtitle Styles Pane 6 The following information relates to the Question Sarah Tomori, a CUNTY QC Alumni, is a fixed income analyst at Chelsea Investments. Tomori specializes in money market instruments. She is exploring whether her fund should be equal weight, underweight or overweight duration for the upcoming year. Target duration is typically 12 months, but Tomori is permitted to drift from the target duration by plus or minus 4 months depending on her view of the market. As part of her initial research, Tomori investigates the market for Fed Fund Futures. Tomori believes she can extract the market expectations of short-term interest rate changes from the futures market. Current Fed Fund market detail is as follows: The current federal funds rate target range is set between 2.75% and 3.00%. The strip of monthly expiry Fed Fund futures is shown below. ZQJO is the future expiring on the last day in Apr 2020 and ZQJl is the future expiring on the last date in Apr 2021. Final settlement occurs on the first business day following the last trading day. N ZQJO ZQKOZQMO ZONO ZQQ0ZQUOZQVO ZQxo ZQZO ZQF1 ZQG1 ZQH1 ZQJ1 97.125 97.105 97.085 97.045 96.955 96.95 96.86596.845 96.625 96.620 96.595 96.880 96.870 M The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the 12-member group that sets the Fed Fund's discount rate is scheduled to meet on the dates shown below. Assume the FOMC always changes the target rate range in increments of 25bp. + Meeting Date Days to Meeting 29 Apr 20 18 10 Jun 20 60 29 Jul 20 109 16 Sep 20 158 5 Nov 20 209 16 Dec 20 249 27 Jan 21 291 37 Mar 3 340 1. The probability of a 25bp Fed funds hike at the 16 Sep 20 FOMC meeting, implied by the futures market is closest to A. 100% B. 50% C. 70% Page 1 of 1 306 Words LE English (US) 1 E ESE D Focus + 120% 7 Document1 Qu Search in Document Home Insert Design Layout References Mailings Review View Table Design Layout 2+ Share Calibri Light (H... 12 A- A A A E** T AaBbCcDdE: AaBbCcDdE AaBbCcDc AaBb CcDdEe AaBbCcDdEe AaBbccddee AaBbc AabbccDd Ee Paste Uabe Xx2 A Normal No Spacing Heading 1 Heading 2 Heading 3 Heading 4 Title Subtitle Styles Pane 6 The following information relates to the Question Sarah Tomori, a CUNTY QC Alumni, is a fixed income analyst at Chelsea Investments. Tomori specializes in money market instruments. She is exploring whether her fund should be equal weight, underweight or overweight duration for the upcoming year. Target duration is typically 12 months, but Tomori is permitted to drift from the target duration by plus or minus 4 months depending on her view of the market. As part of her initial research, Tomori investigates the market for Fed Fund Futures. Tomori believes she can extract the market expectations of short-term interest rate changes from the futures market. Current Fed Fund market detail is as follows: The current federal funds rate target range is set between 2.75% and 3.00%. The strip of monthly expiry Fed Fund futures is shown below. ZQJO is the future expiring on the last day in Apr 2020 and ZQJl is the future expiring on the last date in Apr 2021. Final settlement occurs on the first business day following the last trading day. N ZQJO ZQKOZQMO ZONO ZQQ0ZQUOZQVO ZQxo ZQZO ZQF1 ZQG1 ZQH1 ZQJ1 97.125 97.105 97.085 97.045 96.955 96.95 96.86596.845 96.625 96.620 96.595 96.880 96.870 M The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the 12-member group that sets the Fed Fund's discount rate is scheduled to meet on the dates shown below. Assume the FOMC always changes the target rate range in increments of 25bp. + Meeting Date Days to Meeting 29 Apr 20 18 10 Jun 20 60 29 Jul 20 109 16 Sep 20 158 5 Nov 20 209 16 Dec 20 249 27 Jan 21 291 37 Mar 3 340 1. The probability of a 25bp Fed funds hike at the 16 Sep 20 FOMC meeting, implied by the futures market is closest to A. 100% B. 50% C. 70% Page 1 of 1 306 Words LE English (US) 1 E ESE D Focus + 120%