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Travel a manufacturer of caravans It is considering a major project which involves expanding production at its existing factory. The returns of the company and
Travel a manufacturer of caravans It is considering a major project which involves expanding production at its existing factory. The returns of the company and the project depend on economic growth as set out in the table below:
outcomes | |||
economic growth | probability | company return | project return |
good | 0.2 | 20% | 22% |
average | 0.4 | 18% | 18% |
poor | 0.4 | 16% | 0% |
Requirements
- Calculate the expected return and the standard deviation of return for both the company and the project.
- Calculate the covariance and correlation between the returns of the company and the project.
- Travelvan plc estimates the project will account for 10% of the companys total market value after its acceptance. Calculate the expected return and the standard deviation of return for the combination of the company and the project.
- An investment analyst has estimated the beta () of the project at 1.3. The risk free rate is 3.5% pa and the risk premium on shares is currently 10% pa. Explain whether the directors should focus on the projects beta or its standard deviation (as calculated in part (a)) in their assessment of the projects viability.
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