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True or False Forecasts of Disruptions are quantitative and do not rely on hypotheses. The success of the Disruption is that it ultimately captures a

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Forecasts of Disruptions are quantitative and do not rely on hypotheses.
The success of the Disruption is that it ultimately captures a significant amount of the industry's revenues and profits.
All Financial Analysts forecast 3 year, 5 year and 10 year outlooks.
Analysts cannot accurately predict the timeframe of a Disruption, but can easily forecast the long-term penetration rate.
Forecast taking a top down approach to the penetration rate of the target market and sanity check with a bottoms up forecast based on usage.
Financial Analysts are forward looking and take a broad view of competition.
It is instructive to assess the elasticity of demand in the target market to gauge the potential demand curve as the Disruptor moves upmarket.

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